NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 4,484 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 2194-2225-65 (49.6%)
Straight up: 2798-1685-1 (62.4%)
Over/under: 2243-2175-66 (50.8% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.03 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.9%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 1406-1417 (49.8%); 2018-2027: 788-808 (49.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: ATL at IND
- 2026-11-02: NY vs BKN
- 2026-11-02: WSH at ORL
- 2026-11-02: HOU vs BOS
- 2026-11-02: PHX at GS
- 2026-11-02: MIA at LAL
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2026 | 77-79 | 49.4% |
| 2025 | 81-75-2 | 51.9% |
| 2024 | 79-80-3 | 49.7% |
| 2023 | 95-83-5 | 53.4% |
| 2022 | 89-106-5 | 45.6% |
| 2021 | 74-94-3 | 44.0% |
| 2020 | 74-78-5 | 48.7% |
| 2019 | 100-94-1 | 51.5% |
| 2018 | 116-113-5 | 50.7% |
| 2017 | 131-120-5 | 52.2% |
| 2016 | 145-143-2 | 50.3% |
| 2015 | 139-168-4 | 45.3% |
| 2014 | 134-135-5 | 49.8% |
| 2013 | 153-158 | 49.2% |
| 2012 | 115-122-2 | 48.5% |
| 2011 | 152-151-4 | 50.2% |
| 2010 | 155-137-5 | 53.1% |
| 2009 | 135-144-5 | 48.4% |
| 2008 | 147-139-4 | 51.4% |
By team
Atlanta Hawks · Brooklyn Nets · Boston Celtics · Charlotte Hornets · Chicago Bulls · Cleveland Cavaliers · Dallas Mavericks · Denver Nuggets · Detroit Pistons · Golden State Warriors · Houston Rockets · Indiana Pacers · LA Clippers · Los Angeles Lakers · Memphis Grizzlies · Miami Heat · Milwaukee Bucks · Minnesota Timberwolves · New Orleans Pelicans · New York Knicks · Oklahoma City Thunder · Orlando Magic · Philadelphia 76ers · Phoenix Suns · Portland Trail Blazers · San Antonio Spurs · Sacramento Kings · Toronto Raptors · Utah Jazz · Washington Wizards
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back?
2194-2225-65 against the spread (49.6%) in 4,484 team-games since 2007-08, 2798-1685-1 straight up and 2243-2175-66 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.9%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 1406-1417 (49.8%); 2018-2027: 788-808 (49.4%).