NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: Charlotte Hornets: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 130 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 59-71 (45.4%)
Straight up: 72-58 (55.4%)
Over/under: 63-64-3 (49.6% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.86 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 38-45 (45.8%); 2018-2026: 21-26 (44.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2025 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2024 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2023 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2020 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2019 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2016 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2014 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 3-9 | 25.0% |
| 2012 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2011 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2010 | 6-8 | 42.9% |
| 2009 | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| 2008 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back for the Charlotte Hornets?
59-71 against the spread (45.4%) in 130 team-games since 2007-08, 72-58 straight up and 63-64-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 38-45 (45.8%); 2018-2026: 21-26 (44.7%).