NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: Memphis Grizzlies: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 142 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 72-65-5 (52.6%)
Straight up: 92-50 (64.8%)
Over/under: 52-87-3 (37.4% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.54 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 42-42 (50.0%); 2018-2026: 30-23 (56.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2025 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2023 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2022 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2021 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2020 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 5-5-1 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 5-5-1 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 3-8-2 | 27.3% |
| 2013 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2011 | 10-0 | 100.0% |
| 2010 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2009 | 2-3-1 | 40.0% |
| 2008 | 3-9 | 25.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back for the Memphis Grizzlies?
72-65-5 against the spread (52.6%) in 142 team-games since 2007-08, 92-50 straight up and 52-87-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 42-42 (50.0%); 2018-2026: 30-23 (56.6%).