NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: Minnesota Timberwolves: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 150 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 62-87-1 (41.6%)
Straight up: 74-76 (49.3%)
Over/under: 67-81-2 (45.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.96 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 14 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 38-56 (40.4%); 2018-2026: 24-31 (43.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2023 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2022 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2021 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2020 | 0-3-1 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2018 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2017 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2015 | 8-7 | 53.3% |
| 2014 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 5-8 | 38.5% |
| 2012 | 1-9 | 10.0% |
| 2011 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 4-7 | 36.4% |
| 2009 | 2-7 | 22.2% |
| 2008 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back for the Minnesota Timberwolves?
62-87-1 against the spread (41.6%) in 150 team-games since 2007-08, 74-76 straight up and 67-81-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 14 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 38-56 (40.4%); 2018-2026: 24-31 (43.6%).