NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: San Antonio Spurs: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 141 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 69-71-1 (49.3%)
Straight up: 104-37 (73.8%)
Over/under: 73-66-2 (52.5% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.29 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.2%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 47-46 (50.5%); 2018-2027: 22-25 (46.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2025 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2024 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2020 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2018 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2017 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 5-8 | 38.5% |
| 2015 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2013 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2012 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2011 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2010 | 10-3 | 76.9% |
| 2009 | 2-7-1 | 22.2% |
| 2008 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back for the San Antonio Spurs?
69-71-1 against the spread (49.3%) in 141 team-games since 2007-08, 104-37 straight up and 73-66-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.2%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 47-46 (50.5%); 2018-2027: 22-25 (46.8%).