NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: Houston Rockets: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 156 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 71-83-2 (46.1%)
Straight up: 104-52 (66.7%)
Over/under: 74-78-4 (48.7% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.22 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 53-60 (46.9%); 2018-2026: 18-23 (43.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: HOU vs BOS
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 0-4 | 0.0% |
| 2024 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 2-3-1 | 40.0% |
| 2022 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2021 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2020 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2018 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2017 | 4-7 | 36.4% |
| 2016 | 4-7 | 36.4% |
| 2015 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2014 | 9-3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2013 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2012 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2011 | 7-9 | 43.8% |
| 2010 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 6-7 | 46.2% |
| 2008 | 5-8 | 38.5% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back for the Houston Rockets?
71-83-2 against the spread (46.1%) in 156 team-games since 2007-08, 104-52 straight up and 74-78-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 53-60 (46.9%); 2018-2026: 18-23 (43.9%).