NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: Phoenix Suns: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 179 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 87-90-2 (49.2%)
Straight up: 104-74-1 (58.4%)
Over/under: 98-80-1 (55.1% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.1 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.9%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 58-54 (51.8%); 2018-2027: 29-36 (44.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: PHX at GS
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2025 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2023 | 5-1-1 | 83.3% |
| 2022 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2021 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2020 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2019 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2018 | 3-9 | 25.0% |
| 2017 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2016 | 9-4 | 69.2% |
| 2015 | 5-7 | 41.7% |
| 2014 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 7-5 | 58.3% |
| 2012 | 6-2 | 75.0% |
| 2011 | 6-10 | 37.5% |
| 2010 | 5-5-1 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 9-4 | 69.2% |
| 2008 | 5-8 | 38.5% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back for the Phoenix Suns?
87-90-2 against the spread (49.2%) in 179 team-games since 2007-08, 104-74-1 straight up and 98-80-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.9%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 58-54 (51.8%); 2018-2027: 29-36 (44.6%).