NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: LA Clippers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 184 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 89-93-2 (48.9%)
Straight up: 127-57 (69.0%)
Over/under: 94-83-7 (53.1% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.06 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 53-57 (48.2%); 2018-2027: 36-36 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2025 | 6-1 | 85.7% |
| 2024 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2023 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2022 | 3-7 | 30.0% |
| 2021 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2020 | 4-2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2018 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2017 | 8-2-1 | 80.0% |
| 2016 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2015 | 7-5 | 58.3% |
| 2014 | 7-12 | 36.8% |
| 2013 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2012 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2011 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2010 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2009 | 3-8 | 27.3% |
| 2008 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back for the LA Clippers?
89-93-2 against the spread (48.9%) in 184 team-games since 2007-08, 127-57 straight up and 94-83-7 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 53-57 (48.2%); 2018-2027: 36-36 (50.0%).