NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: Washington Wizards: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 156 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 72-82-2 (46.8%)
Straight up: 78-78 (50.0%)
Over/under: 77-75-4 (50.7% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.64 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 45-52 (46.4%); 2018-2026: 27-30 (47.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: WSH at ORL
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2025 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2023 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2022 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2021 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2020 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2018 | 5-4-1 | 55.6% |
| 2017 | 6-2 | 75.0% |
| 2016 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 9-6 | 60.0% |
| 2014 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2013 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 4-7-1 | 36.4% |
| 2011 | 6-8 | 42.9% |
| 2010 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 2-7 | 22.2% |
| 2008 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back for the Washington Wizards?
72-82-2 against the spread (46.8%) in 156 team-games since 2007-08, 78-78 straight up and 77-75-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 45-52 (46.4%); 2018-2026: 27-30 (47.4%).