NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: Boston Celtics: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 126 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 65-60-1 (52.0%)
Straight up: 94-32 (74.6%)
Over/under: 63-63 (50.0% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.21 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.7%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 36-44 (45.0%); 2018-2026: 29-16 (64.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2025 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2024 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2020 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
| 2019 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2018 | 7-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2017 | 2-9 | 18.2% |
| 2016 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2015 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2014 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2013 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2012 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2011 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2010 | 2-7 | 22.2% |
| 2009 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2008 | 6-2 | 75.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back for the Boston Celtics?
65-60-1 against the spread (52.0%) in 126 team-games since 2007-08, 94-32 straight up and 63-63 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -0.7%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 36-44 (45.0%); 2018-2026: 29-16 (64.4%).