NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: Cleveland Cavaliers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 130 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 59-70-1 (45.7%)
Straight up: 82-48 (63.1%)
Over/under: 70-57-3 (55.1% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.32 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 39-41 (48.8%); 2018-2027: 20-29 (40.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
| 2025 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2024 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2023 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2022 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2021 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 0-6 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 5-1 | 83.3% |
| 2018 | 3-6 | 33.3% |
| 2017 | 3-5-1 | 37.5% |
| 2016 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2015 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2013 | 4-8 | 33.3% |
| 2012 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 1-9 | 10.0% |
| 2010 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2009 | 7-1 | 87.5% |
| 2008 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back for the Cleveland Cavaliers?
59-70-1 against the spread (45.7%) in 130 team-games since 2007-08, 82-48 straight up and 70-57-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 39-41 (48.8%); 2018-2027: 20-29 (40.8%).