NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: Los Angeles Lakers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 130 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 62-66-2 (48.4%)
Straight up: 77-53 (59.2%)
Over/under: 69-59-2 (53.9% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.22 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -1.6%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 31-43 (41.9%); 2018-2026: 31-23 (57.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2024 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2023 | 7-6-1 | 53.8% |
| 2022 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2021 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2017 | 2-5-1 | 28.6% |
| 2016 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2015 | 3-7 | 30.0% |
| 2014 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2013 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2012 | 2-7 | 22.2% |
| 2011 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2009 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2008 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back for the Los Angeles Lakers?
62-66-2 against the spread (48.4%) in 130 team-games since 2007-08, 77-53 straight up and 69-59-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -1.6%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 31-43 (41.9%); 2018-2026: 31-23 (57.4%).