NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: Toronto Raptors: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 133 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 70-61-2 (53.4%)
Straight up: 80-53 (60.2%)
Over/under: 61-70-2 (46.6% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.27 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 43-33 (56.6%); 2018-2026: 27-28 (49.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2025 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2024 | 0-5 | 0.0% |
| 2023 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2022 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 6-3-1 | 66.7% |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2018 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2017 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2016 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2015 | 6-8 | 42.9% |
| 2014 | 6-1-1 | 85.7% |
| 2013 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2012 | 5-3 | 62.5% |
| 2011 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2008 | 8-2 | 80.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back for the Toronto Raptors?
70-61-2 against the spread (53.4%) in 133 team-games since 2007-08, 80-53 straight up and 61-70-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 43-33 (56.6%); 2018-2026: 27-28 (49.1%).