NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: Chicago Bulls: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 150 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 76-74 (50.7%)
Straight up: 101-49 (67.3%)
Over/under: 66-82-2 (44.6% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.47 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 47-50 (48.5%); 2018-2027: 29-24 (54.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2025 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2024 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2023 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2022 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2021 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2018 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2017 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2016 | 7-5 | 58.3% |
| 2015 | 7-5 | 58.3% |
| 2014 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2013 | 4-8 | 33.3% |
| 2012 | 6-5 | 54.5% |
| 2011 | 8-5 | 61.5% |
| 2010 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2009 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2008 | 1-4 | 20.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back for the Chicago Bulls?
76-74 against the spread (50.7%) in 150 team-games since 2007-08, 101-49 straight up and 66-82-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 47-50 (48.5%); 2018-2027: 29-24 (54.7%).