NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: Orlando Magic: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 148 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 75-71-2 (51.4%)
Straight up: 86-62 (58.1%)
Over/under: 75-70-3 (51.7% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.41 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.9%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 49-42 (53.8%); 2018-2026: 26-29 (47.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2025 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2024 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 6-1 | 85.7% |
| 2022 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 1-3-1 | 25.0% |
| 2020 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2019 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2018 | 2-8 | 20.0% |
| 2017 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2016 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2015 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2014 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2013 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2012 | 6-1 | 85.7% |
| 2011 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2010 | 11-1 | 91.7% |
| 2009 | 9-3 | 75.0% |
| 2008 | 6-4-1 | 60.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back for the Orlando Magic?
75-71-2 against the spread (51.4%) in 148 team-games since 2007-08, 86-62 straight up and 75-70-3 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.9%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 49-42 (53.8%); 2018-2026: 26-29 (47.3%).