NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: Sacramento Kings: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 154 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 62-87-5 (41.6%)
Straight up: 71-83 (46.1%)
Over/under: 96-56-2 (63.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.13 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 14 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 33-53 (38.4%); 2018-2026: 29-34 (46.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2025 | 4-2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2024 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2022 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2020 | 1-3-1 | 25.0% |
| 2019 | 5-2-1 | 71.4% |
| 2018 | 3-7-1 | 30.0% |
| 2017 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2016 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2015 | 1-9 | 10.0% |
| 2014 | 0-7 | 0.0% |
| 2013 | 7-8 | 46.7% |
| 2012 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 3-10-1 | 23.1% |
| 2010 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2009 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2008 | 4-1 | 80.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back for the Sacramento Kings?
62-87-5 against the spread (41.6%) in 154 team-games since 2007-08, 71-83 straight up and 96-56-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 14 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 33-53 (38.4%); 2018-2026: 29-34 (46.0%).