NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: Utah Jazz: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 175 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 85-87-3 (49.4%)
Straight up: 115-60 (65.7%)
Over/under: 81-90-4 (47.4% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.06 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 62-57 (52.1%); 2018-2027: 23-30 (43.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2025 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 3-2 | 60.0% |
| 2023 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2021 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2020 | 2-7 | 22.2% |
| 2019 | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 2018 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 7-5 | 58.3% |
| 2016 | 5-6 | 45.5% |
| 2015 | 6-9-1 | 40.0% |
| 2014 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2013 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 5-7 | 41.7% |
| 2011 | 3-9 | 25.0% |
| 2010 | 10-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2009 | 9-8 | 52.9% |
| 2008 | 8-5-1 | 61.5% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back for the Utah Jazz?
85-87-3 against the spread (49.4%) in 175 team-games since 2007-08, 115-60 straight up and 81-90-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -3.4%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 62-57 (52.1%); 2018-2027: 23-30 (43.4%).