NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: Detroit Pistons: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 145 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 75-68-2 (52.4%)
Straight up: 82-63 (56.6%)
Over/under: 74-69-2 (51.7% overs)
Average cover margin: 1.32 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 45-29 (60.8%); 2018-2026: 30-39 (43.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2025 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2024 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2022 | 3-7 | 30.0% |
| 2021 | 3-8 | 27.3% |
| 2020 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2019 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2018 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2017 | 6-3-1 | 66.7% |
| 2016 | 7-3 | 70.0% |
| 2015 | 4-3 | 57.1% |
| 2014 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 6-3 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 4-5-1 | 44.4% |
| 2009 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2008 | 4-0 | 100.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back for the Detroit Pistons?
75-68-2 against the spread (52.4%) in 145 team-games since 2007-08, 82-63 straight up and 74-69-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 45-29 (60.8%); 2018-2026: 30-39 (43.5%).