Our record: every graded pick
Every pick our NFL, NBA, college football, college basketball and UFC models have made, graded: wins, losses, units and return, including the models that failed their tests.
2,990 graded picks, 1 unit each at the price logged before the game.
| Model | Status | W-L | Units | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL: L1 rushing and receiving unders | Forward test in progress | 62-62 | +8.13 | +6.6% |
| NFL: L2 receptions usage model | Passed holdout read 2 (design version); live forward test | 98-58 | +17.34 | +11.1% |
| NFL: L3 rushing and receiving yards usage models | Failed design test; shown by choice | 167-136 | +14.04 | +4.6% |
| NFL: L4 passing yards usage model | Failed design test; shown by choice | 17-20 | -4.84 | -13.1% |
| NFL: QB1 passing yards | Experimental: untested model | 3-9 | -5.97 | -49.7% |
| NBA: USE-NBA usage model | Failed its tests in every market (holdout or design); shown by choice | 460-435 | -0.57 | -0.1% |
| NCAAF: College football picks shown on the site | Live forward test | 66-83 | -21.15 | -14.2% |
| NCAAF: College football picks not shown on the site | Logged, not shown on the site | 146-155-1 | +2.35 | +0.8% |
| NCAAF: College football opener spreads | Live forward test | 12-13 | — | — |
| NCAAB: College basketball first half | Forward test; picks admin-only until it passes | no settled picks | 0.00 | — |
| NFL: +EV scanner (EV1) | Forward test from Oct 23; read at 500 bets | 80-70 | +56.69 | +37.8% |
| NFL: Fair Odds: books above the exchanges (FP1) | Forward test from Oct 23; read at 300 bets | 11-11 | +6.34 | +28.8% |
| NBA: +EV scanner (EV1-X) | Forward test from Oct 24; read at 500 bets | 51-88 | -20.47 | -14.7% |
| NBA: Fair Odds: books above Kalshi (FP1-X) | Forward test from Oct 24; read at 300 bets | 39-49 | -3.04 | -3.5% |
| NCAAF: +EV scanner (EV1-X) | Forward test from Oct 24; read at 500 bets | 34-123 | +13.05 | +8.3% |
| NCAAF: Fair Odds: books above Kalshi (FP1-X) | Forward test from Oct 24; read at 300 bets | 13-33 | -16.92 | -36.8% |
| NCAAB: +EV scanner (EV1-X) | Forward test from Oct 24; read at 500 bets | 0-10 | -10.00 | -100.0% |
| NCAAB: Fair Odds: books above Kalshi (FP1-X) | Forward test from Oct 24; read at 300 bets | 0-1 | -1.00 | -100.0% |
| NFL: +EV scanner, power de-vig (EV1-P) | Shadow of EV1 from Oct 24; read with it | 83-59 | +40.01 | +28.2% |
| NHL: +EV scanner (EV1-X) | Forward test from Oct 24; read at 500 bets | 18-5 | +17.26 | +75.0% |
| NHL: Fair Odds: books above Kalshi (FP1-X) | Forward test from Oct 24; read at 300 bets | 5-0 | +5.22 | +104.4% |
| NHL: +EV scanner, power de-vig (EV1-XP) | Shadow of EV1-X from Oct 24; read with it | 15-1 | +14.71 | +91.9% |
| NBA: +EV scanner, power de-vig (EV1-XP) | Shadow of EV1-X from Oct 24; read with it | 49-38 | +12.86 | +14.8% |
| NCAAF: +EV scanner, power de-vig (EV1-XP) | Shadow of EV1-X from Oct 24; read with it | 18-26 | -8.59 | -19.5% |
| NCAAB: +EV scanner, power de-vig (EV1-XP) | Shadow of EV1-X from Oct 24; read with it | 0-5 | -5.00 | -100.0% |
| Markets: Following specialist Polymarket wallets (PM3) | Forward test from Oct 28; read at 300 specialist bets from 5+ wallets, or Feb 15 | no settled picks | 0.00 | — |
| Markets: Following sharp Polymarket wallets (PM2) | Forward test from Oct 26; read at 300 sharp bets from 5+ wallets, or Feb 15 | 6-6 | -2.25 | -18.7% |
| Markets: Parlay Builder suggestions (PB1) | Forward test from Oct 28; read at 300 parlays, or Feb 15 | 10-30 | -11.51 | -28.8% |
| UFC: Fighters with 1-2 UFC fights, two weeks out | live forward test, unproven | no settled picks | 0.00 | — |
| UFC: Heavy favourites, two weeks out | live forward test, unproven | no settled picks | 0.00 | — |