NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: Milwaukee Bucks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 169 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 77-90-2 (46.1%)
Straight up: 102-67 (60.4%)
Over/under: 88-80-1 (52.4% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.88 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 47-59 (44.3%); 2018-2027: 30-31 (49.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-0 | 100.0% |
| 2026 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2025 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2024 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 4-2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2022 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 5-5 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 4-2 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 2-5 | 28.6% |
| 2017 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2016 | 6-6 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 3-7-1 | 30.0% |
| 2014 | 2-4 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2012 | 2-6 | 25.0% |
| 2011 | 4-6 | 40.0% |
| 2010 | 7-6 | 53.8% |
| 2009 | 6-8 | 42.9% |
| 2008 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back for the Milwaukee Bucks?
77-90-2 against the spread (46.1%) in 169 team-games since 2007-08, 102-67 straight up and 88-80-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 47-59 (44.3%); 2018-2027: 30-31 (49.2%).