NBA Rested team vs a back-to-back: Golden State Warriors: ATS Record Since 2007-08
The rest edge. 171 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 89-77-5 (53.6%)
Straight up: 117-54 (68.4%)
Over/under: 80-87-4 (47.9% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.01 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 64-50 (56.1%); 2018-2026: 25-27 (48.1%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 2025 | 4-5 | 44.4% |
| 2024 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2023 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 2-4-1 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2020 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2019 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 5-2 | 71.4% |
| 2017 | 10-4-1 | 71.4% |
| 2016 | 7-4 | 63.6% |
| 2015 | 8-7 | 53.3% |
| 2014 | 5-7-1 | 41.7% |
| 2013 | 9-3 | 75.0% |
| 2012 | 3-6-1 | 33.3% |
| 2011 | 5-4 | 55.6% |
| 2010 | 7-1 | 87.5% |
| 2009 | 6-7 | 46.2% |
| 2008 | 4-7 | 36.4% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA rested team vs a back-to-back for the Golden State Warriors?
89-77-5 against the spread (53.6%) in 171 team-games since 2007-08, 117-54 straight up and 80-87-4 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 64-50 (56.1%); 2018-2026: 25-27 (48.1%).