NBA Home favorites: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Teams laying points at home. 15,581 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 7629-7700-252 (49.8%)
Straight up: 10994-4586-1 (70.6%)
Over/under: 7653-7720-208 (49.8% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.35 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -4.1%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 4260-4308 (49.7%); 2018-2027: 3369-3392 (49.8%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: CLE vs OKC
- 2026-11-02: NY vs BKN
- 2026-11-02: ORL vs WSH
- 2026-11-02: PHI vs CHI
- 2026-11-02: DAL vs SAC
- 2026-11-02: MEM vs NO
- 2026-11-02: MIN vs MIL
- 2026-11-02: HOU vs BOS
- 2026-11-02: SA vs UTAH
- 2026-11-02: DEN vs POR
- 2026-11-02: GS vs PHX
- 2026-11-02: LAL vs MIA
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 28-30 | 48.3% |
| 2026 | 360-352-2 | 50.6% |
| 2025 | 355-355-12 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 369-379-9 | 49.3% |
| 2023 | 394-381-14 | 50.8% |
| 2022 | 405-414-13 | 49.5% |
| 2021 | 337-330-8 | 50.5% |
| 2020 | 287-303-15 | 48.6% |
| 2019 | 428-422-8 | 50.4% |
| 2018 | 406-426-23 | 48.8% |
| 2017 | 419-423-13 | 49.8% |
| 2016 | 440-406-9 | 52.0% |
| 2015 | 406-436-22 | 48.2% |
| 2014 | 406-449-17 | 47.5% |
| 2013 | 450-450-13 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 369-356-5 | 50.9% |
| 2011 | 417-459-22 | 47.6% |
| 2010 | 445-449-22 | 49.8% |
| 2009 | 443-457-12 | 49.2% |
| 2008 | 465-423-13 | 52.4% |
By team
Atlanta Hawks · Brooklyn Nets · Boston Celtics · Charlotte Hornets · Chicago Bulls · Cleveland Cavaliers · Dallas Mavericks · Denver Nuggets · Detroit Pistons · Golden State Warriors · Houston Rockets · Indiana Pacers · LA Clippers · Los Angeles Lakers · Memphis Grizzlies · Miami Heat · Milwaukee Bucks · Minnesota Timberwolves · New Orleans Pelicans · New York Knicks · Oklahoma City Thunder · Orlando Magic · Philadelphia 76ers · Phoenix Suns · Portland Trail Blazers · San Antonio Spurs · Sacramento Kings · Toronto Raptors · Utah Jazz · Washington Wizards
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites?
7629-7700-252 against the spread (49.8%) in 15,581 team-games since 2007-08, 10994-4586-1 straight up and 7653-7720-208 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -4.1%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 4260-4308 (49.7%); 2018-2027: 3369-3392 (49.8%).