NBA Home favorites: Golden State Warriors: ATS Record Since 2007-08

Teams laying points at home. 642 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 320-311-11 (50.7%)
Straight up: 483-159 (75.2%)
Over/under: 313-318-11 (49.6% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.03 points

Is it real?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.2%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 176-156 (53.0%); 2018-2027: 144-155 (48.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

Upcoming games that fit

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20271-150.0%
202613-1644.8%
202513-16-144.8%
202411-2233.3%
202322-13-162.9%
202229-19-260.4%
202113-765.0%
20201-325.0%
201919-31-138.0%
201822-27-144.9%
201727-22-155.1%
201631-22-258.5%
201531-20-160.8%
201418-20-147.4%
201319-1457.6%
20126-746.2%
201116-1159.3%
20109-564.3%
20099-1047.4%
200810-2528.6%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites for the Golden State Warriors?

320-311-11 against the spread (50.7%) in 642 team-games since 2007-08, 483-159 straight up and 313-318-11 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.2%), so there is no edge to explain.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 176-156 (53.0%); 2018-2027: 144-155 (48.2%).

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