NBA Home favorites: Golden State Warriors: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Teams laying points at home. 642 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 320-311-11 (50.7%)
Straight up: 483-159 (75.2%)
Over/under: 313-318-11 (49.6% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.03 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.2%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 176-156 (53.0%); 2018-2027: 144-155 (48.2%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: GS vs PHX
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2026 | 13-16 | 44.8% |
| 2025 | 13-16-1 | 44.8% |
| 2024 | 11-22 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 22-13-1 | 62.9% |
| 2022 | 29-19-2 | 60.4% |
| 2021 | 13-7 | 65.0% |
| 2020 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2019 | 19-31-1 | 38.0% |
| 2018 | 22-27-1 | 44.9% |
| 2017 | 27-22-1 | 55.1% |
| 2016 | 31-22-2 | 58.5% |
| 2015 | 31-20-1 | 60.8% |
| 2014 | 18-20-1 | 47.4% |
| 2013 | 19-14 | 57.6% |
| 2012 | 6-7 | 46.2% |
| 2011 | 16-11 | 59.3% |
| 2010 | 9-5 | 64.3% |
| 2009 | 9-10 | 47.4% |
| 2008 | 10-25 | 28.6% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites for the Golden State Warriors?
320-311-11 against the spread (50.7%) in 642 team-games since 2007-08, 483-159 straight up and 313-318-11 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.2%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 176-156 (53.0%); 2018-2027: 144-155 (48.2%).