NBA Home favorites: Detroit Pistons: ATS Record Since 2007-08

Teams laying points at home. 400 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 189-206-5 (47.8%)
Straight up: 258-142 (64.5%)
Over/under: 203-190-7 (51.7% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.93 points

Is it real?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 125-126 (49.8%); 2018-2027: 64-80 (44.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20271-0100.0%
202616-1945.7%
20258-1436.4%
20243-537.5%
20231-1-150.0%
20222-340.0%
20212-250.0%
20205-935.7%
201914-1253.8%
201812-15-244.4%
201717-1356.7%
201619-8-170.4%
20156-1233.3%
201413-1448.1%
20138-1240.0%
20126-746.2%
20117-846.7%
20108-11-142.1%
200911-2332.4%
200830-1862.5%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites for the Detroit Pistons?

189-206-5 against the spread (47.8%) in 400 team-games since 2007-08, 258-142 straight up and 203-190-7 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -0.4%), so there is no edge to explain.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 125-126 (49.8%); 2018-2027: 64-80 (44.4%).

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