NBA Home favorites: Denver Nuggets: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Teams laying points at home. 653 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 324-315-14 (50.7%)
Straight up: 493-160 (75.5%)
Over/under: 334-309-10 (51.9% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.37 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.2%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 166-155 (51.7%); 2018-2027: 158-160 (49.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: DEN vs POR
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-2 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 14-17 | 45.2% |
| 2025 | 16-19-1 | 45.7% |
| 2024 | 20-19-1 | 51.3% |
| 2023 | 21-15-1 | 58.3% |
| 2022 | 13-21 | 38.2% |
| 2021 | 16-18 | 47.1% |
| 2020 | 14-13-2 | 51.9% |
| 2019 | 27-19 | 58.7% |
| 2018 | 17-17-1 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 15-12-1 | 55.6% |
| 2016 | 6-9 | 40.0% |
| 2015 | 11-10-2 | 52.4% |
| 2014 | 7-15 | 31.8% |
| 2013 | 24-16 | 60.0% |
| 2012 | 15-17 | 46.9% |
| 2011 | 18-17-3 | 51.4% |
| 2010 | 20-22-1 | 47.6% |
| 2009 | 28-19 | 59.6% |
| 2008 | 22-18-1 | 55.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites for the Denver Nuggets?
324-315-14 against the spread (50.7%) in 653 team-games since 2007-08, 493-160 straight up and 334-309-10 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.2%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 166-155 (51.7%); 2018-2027: 158-160 (49.7%).