NBA Home favorites: Atlanta Hawks: ATS Record Since 2007-08

Teams laying points at home. 558 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 277-276-5 (50.1%)
Straight up: 390-168 (69.9%)
Over/under: 282-270-6 (51.1% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.18 points

Is it real?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.4%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 176-179 (49.6%); 2018-2027: 101-97 (51.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20271-150.0%
202614-1351.9%
20259-1242.9%
202411-1739.3%
202315-1944.1%
202220-1557.1%
202118-869.2%
20205-2-171.4%
20192-528.6%
20186-554.5%
201716-2242.1%
201622-18-155.0%
201526-2056.5%
201412-1348.0%
201313-22-237.1%
201213-1644.8%
201111-2035.5%
201028-1762.2%
200920-18-152.6%
200815-1353.6%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites for the Atlanta Hawks?

277-276-5 against the spread (50.1%) in 558 team-games since 2007-08, 390-168 straight up and 282-270-6 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.4%), so there is no edge to explain.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 176-179 (49.6%); 2018-2027: 101-97 (51.0%).

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