NBA Home favorites: Utah Jazz: ATS Record Since 2007-08

Teams laying points at home. 559 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 281-265-13 (51.5%)
Straight up: 407-152 (72.8%)
Over/under: 264-288-7 (47.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.42 points

Is it real?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.8%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 166-147 (53.0%); 2018-2027: 115-118 (49.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20270-10.0%
20264-266.7%
20251-233.3%
20249-564.3%
20239-1636.0%
202218-24-142.9%
202125-15-162.5%
202012-16-242.9%
201920-2050.0%
201817-1750.0%
201716-20-344.4%
201614-1548.3%
20159-11-145.0%
20145-7-141.7%
201319-1654.3%
201214-1058.3%
201112-2136.4%
201028-15-265.1%
200920-1852.6%
200829-14-267.4%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites for the Utah Jazz?

281-265-13 against the spread (51.5%) in 559 team-games since 2007-08, 407-152 straight up and 264-288-7 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -1.8%), so there is no edge to explain.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 166-147 (53.0%); 2018-2027: 115-118 (49.4%).

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