NBA Home favorites: LA Clippers: ATS Record Since 2007-08

Teams laying points at home. 567 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 285-277-5 (50.7%)
Straight up: 410-157 (72.3%)
Over/under: 265-289-13 (47.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.14 points

Is it real?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.2%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 138-149 (48.1%); 2018-2027: 147-128 (53.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20271-150.0%
202614-1450.0%
202520-871.4%
202416-1945.7%
202315-1648.4%
202213-1546.4%
202121-1755.3%
202015-13-153.6%
201919-1163.3%
201813-1448.1%
201718-19-148.6%
201618-17-151.4%
201518-2839.1%
201422-2348.9%
201323-17-157.5%
201214-1548.3%
201110-1050.0%
20108-7-153.3%
20092-722.2%
20085-645.5%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites for the LA Clippers?

285-277-5 against the spread (50.7%) in 567 team-games since 2007-08, 410-157 straight up and 265-289-13 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.2%), so there is no edge to explain.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 138-149 (48.1%); 2018-2027: 147-128 (53.5%).

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