NBA Home favorites: Portland Trail Blazers: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Teams laying points at home. 534 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 266-259-9 (50.7%)
Straight up: 382-152 (71.5%)
Over/under: 276-256-2 (51.9% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.17 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 163-158 (50.8%); 2018-2027: 103-101 (50.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2026 | 12-8 | 60.0% |
| 2025 | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 1-5 | 16.7% |
| 2023 | 13-10 | 56.5% |
| 2022 | 9-9 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 11-17 | 39.3% |
| 2020 | 11-11-1 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 23-19 | 54.8% |
| 2018 | 18-17-2 | 51.4% |
| 2017 | 16-15 | 51.6% |
| 2016 | 15-15 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 21-18-1 | 53.8% |
| 2014 | 16-26 | 38.1% |
| 2013 | 12-12-1 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 16-10 | 61.5% |
| 2011 | 19-15-2 | 55.9% |
| 2010 | 14-19-2 | 42.4% |
| 2009 | 24-14 | 63.2% |
| 2008 | 10-14 | 41.7% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites for the Portland Trail Blazers?
266-259-9 against the spread (50.7%) in 534 team-games since 2007-08, 382-152 straight up and 276-256-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 163-158 (50.8%); 2018-2027: 103-101 (50.5%).