NBA Home favorites: Dallas Mavericks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Teams laying points at home. 571 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 258-296-17 (46.6%)
Straight up: 397-174 (69.5%)
Over/under: 278-285-8 (49.4% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.16 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck. 2008-2017: 156-176 (47.0%); 2018-2026: 102-120 (45.9%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
Upcoming games that fit
- 2026-11-02: DAL vs SAC
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5-8 | 38.5% |
| 2025 | 12-10 | 54.5% |
| 2024 | 15-13 | 53.6% |
| 2023 | 10-25-1 | 28.6% |
| 2022 | 20-12-2 | 62.5% |
| 2021 | 10-17 | 37.0% |
| 2020 | 13-15-1 | 46.4% |
| 2019 | 11-11-1 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 6-9 | 40.0% |
| 2017 | 7-5 | 58.3% |
| 2016 | 15-12-1 | 55.6% |
| 2015 | 14-22-3 | 38.9% |
| 2014 | 15-18 | 45.5% |
| 2013 | 16-14 | 53.3% |
| 2012 | 16-15 | 51.6% |
| 2011 | 23-19-4 | 54.8% |
| 2010 | 11-29-2 | 27.5% |
| 2009 | 20-20 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 19-22-2 | 46.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites for the Dallas Mavericks?
258-296-17 against the spread (46.6%) in 571 team-games since 2007-08, 397-174 straight up and 278-285-8 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 3 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 156-176 (47.0%); 2018-2026: 102-120 (45.9%).