NBA Home favorites: New Orleans Pelicans: ATS Record Since 2007-08

Teams laying points at home. 442 team-games since 2007-08.

Against the spread: 220-217-5 (50.3%)
Straight up: 288-154 (65.2%)
Over/under: 230-206-6 (52.8% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.02 points

Is it real?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.9%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 120-127 (48.6%); 2018-2027: 100-90 (52.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20271-0100.0%
20269-281.8%
20258-466.7%
202413-1546.4%
202316-12-157.1%
202211-4-173.3%
20217-1531.8%
20209-1047.4%
20199-1340.9%
201817-1553.1%
201710-1343.5%
20168-1436.4%
201514-1253.8%
201411-9-255.0%
20138-657.1%
20121-712.5%
201114-14-150.0%
20108-1436.4%
200919-2246.3%
200827-1662.8%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites for the New Orleans Pelicans?

220-217-5 against the spread (50.3%) in 442 team-games since 2007-08, 288-154 straight up and 230-206-6 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.9%), so there is no edge to explain.

Did it hold up?

2008-2017: 120-127 (48.6%); 2018-2027: 100-90 (52.6%).

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