NBA Home favorites: Milwaukee Bucks: ATS Record Since 2007-08
Teams laying points at home. 560 team-games since 2007-08.
Against the spread: 269-282-9 (48.8%)
Straight up: 396-164 (70.7%)
Over/under: 290-264-6 (52.3% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.84 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 2008-2017: 106-122 (46.5%); 2018-2027: 163-160 (50.5%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 0-1 | 0.0% |
| 2026 | 8-8 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 17-14-1 | 54.8% |
| 2024 | 16-21 | 43.2% |
| 2023 | 23-15-2 | 60.5% |
| 2022 | 15-28 | 34.9% |
| 2021 | 25-19 | 56.8% |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 61.3% |
| 2019 | 28-19 | 59.6% |
| 2018 | 12-23-2 | 34.3% |
| 2017 | 13-19 | 40.6% |
| 2016 | 9-9 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 10-11-2 | 47.6% |
| 2014 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 2013 | 12-18-1 | 40.0% |
| 2012 | 7-13 | 35.0% |
| 2011 | 12-15-1 | 44.4% |
| 2010 | 22-13 | 62.9% |
| 2009 | 14-10 | 58.3% |
| 2008 | 5-11 | 31.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NBA home favorites for the Milwaukee Bucks?
269-282-9 against the spread (48.8%) in 560 team-games since 2007-08, 396-164 straight up and 290-264-6 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2008-2017: 106-122 (46.5%); 2018-2027: 163-160 (50.5%).