NCAAB · Monday, November 2, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET · Final: this preview was written before the game

Minnesota Crookston vs North Dakota State prediction: Andy Stefonowicz leads a rebuilt North Dakota State into opening night

The Summit League's preseason favorite opens against non-Division I Minnesota Crookston with one returning starter and 13 new faces to sort out.

Quick take
  • North Dakota State should control a home opener against a non-Division I visitor. The real interest is how its new rotation fits together.
  • Stefonowicz will run the offense, after averaging 4.8 assists last season, while 13 newcomers learn where to be.
  • No spread or total is posted yet. NDSU beat Crookston 67-60 in a November 2024 exhibition, a closer score than the gap in level suggests.

A favorite built from scratch

North Dakota State was voted the Summit League's preseason favorite on Oct. 6. That is a vote of faith in David Richman's program more than in any lineup fans have seen. The Bison added 13 newcomers: seven transfers, five freshmen and one international player. Andy Stefonowicz is the only returning starter.

Stefonowicz, a preseason All-Summit first-team pick, is the steadying hand. Last season he started 33 games and hit 37.7% of his threes. He also made 90.3% of his free throws. The departures hurt. Trevian Carson left for Cincinnati after starting 34 games, and forward Noah Feddersen went to Colorado. Among the July additions is Karl Poom, a 6-foot-8 forward who played last season at Northern Arizona.

What last season's identity says

Last season's 27-8 team won with defense and the glass. It ranked 41st of 365 in defensive efficiency (points allowed per 100 possessions). It grabbed 75.0% of opponents' misses, 11th nationally. It also forced turnovers on 19.8% of possessions, 48th. With this much roster change, those numbers describe a habit Richman coaches rather than a group that is back. Rebounding and pressure tend to travel with the system, and they are the traits to look for against a smaller-program opponent.

What to watch Monday

Crookston has given NDSU a game before: the Bison won a November 2024 exhibition 67-60. The Golden Eagles' top two returning scorers are Spencer Swenson and Donez Lindsey. NDSU also gets a tune-up first, hosting MSU Moorhead in an exhibition on Oct. 22.

  • Rotation clues: who starts beside Stefonowicz, and how many freshmen play real minutes.
  • Tay Smith's role: last season's bench shooter hit 39.1% from three.
  • Poom's minutes in the frontcourt that Feddersen left behind.

Key players

  • Andy Stefonowicz (North Dakota State): Last season he averaged 4.8 assists in 32.5 minutes and made 90.3% of his free throws.
  • Tay Smith (North Dakota State): Last season he hit 75 threes at a 39.1% clip, mostly off the bench.
  • Karl Poom (North Dakota State): The 6-foot-8 forward joins a frontcourt that lost Noah Feddersen to Colorado.

Numbers that matter

Newcomers13Seven transfers, five freshmen and one international player join a roster with one returning starter.
Defensive rebound % (last season)75.0%That ranked 11th of 365 and was the backbone of last season's 27-8 team.
Forced turnover rate (last season)19.8%That ranked 48th nationally, a pressure habit to watch against a non-Division I opponent.
2024 exhibition result67-60NDSU's last game against Crookston was decided by single digits.

Minnesota Crookston vs North Dakota State: quick answers

When is Minnesota Crookston vs North Dakota State?

Monday, November 2, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET.

More on Minnesota Crookston and North Dakota State. Updated Oct 20, 9:01 AM ET. Lines move; check your sportsbook before betting. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

More College Basketball previews for Mon, Nov 2, 2026

All College Basketball predictions and picks · How we write previews