Today's model predictions

Today's picks from every betting model in a live forward test: college basketball first halves, NFL, NBA, college football, NHL and UFC, each with its real record, wins and losses. Model outputs, not guarantees.

Slate for Wednesday, November 4. Updated Nov 4, 10:30 AM ET.

Every model in a live forward test is on this page, however it is doing, unless its own pre-registered test or stop-loss has already failed or stopped it. A model comes off only once it has 100+ settled picks, 14+ days of results and is below zero units. Counting picks, not weeks, keeps the rule the same for a sport with hundreds of games a week and one with sixteen. Every record here is the real one, losing or not. Under 100 settled picks it is marked small sample.

College basketball

College basketball first half

Live forward test, unproven. 81-49, +25.96 units, +20.0% return, 130 settled picks. Only picks at 5%+ EV are posted here.

No picks on today's slate yet.

+EV scanner (EV1-X)

Live forward test, unproven. 37-65, +9.58 units, +9.4% return, 102 settled picks.

GameStartPickPriceBookEV
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights @ Butler Bulldogs7:00 PM ETFairleigh Dickinson Knights to win (moneyline)+5000Fanatics+27.5%
CSU Northridge Matadors @ Wichita St Shockers7:30 PM ETCSU Northridge Matadors +14.5 (spread)+106BetRivers+3.0%
North Dakota St Bison @ Saint Mary's Gaels10:00 PM ETNorth Dakota St Bison to win (moneyline)+740FanDuel+4.8%

Fair Odds: books above Kalshi (FP1-X)

Live forward test, unproven. 11-13, +2.61 units, +10.9% return, 24 settled picks (small sample).

GameStartPickPriceBookEV
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights @ Butler Bulldogs7:00 PM ETFairleigh Dickinson Knights to win (moneyline)+5000Fanatics+27.5%

NFL

L1 rushing and receiving unders

Live forward test, unproven. 65-63, +10.77 units, +8.4% return, 128 settled picks.

No picks on today's slate yet.

L2 receptions usage model

Live forward test, unproven. 100-58, +18.73 units, +11.9% return, 158 settled picks.

No picks on today's slate yet.

+EV scanner (EV1)

Live forward test, unproven. 83-76, +54.10 units, +34.0% return, 159 settled picks.

No picks on today's slate yet.

Fair Odds: books above the exchanges (FP1)

Live forward test, unproven. 11-11, +6.34 units, +28.8% return, 22 settled picks (small sample).

No picks on today's slate yet.

NBA

+EV scanner (EV1-X)

Live forward test, unproven. 54-121, -47.82 units, -27.3% return, 175 settled picks.

GameStartPickPriceBookEV
Philadelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons7:00 PM ETPhiladelphia 76ers to win (moneyline)+123BetRivers+3.7%
Atlanta Hawks @ Washington Wizards7:10 PM ETWashington Wizards to win (moneyline)+132LowVig+4.0%
Chicago Bulls @ New York Knicks7:40 PM ETChicago Bulls to win (moneyline)+475BetMGM+12.1%
Milwaukee Bucks @ Boston Celtics7:40 PM ETMilwaukee Bucks to win (moneyline)+700Caesars+4.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Houston Rockets8:30 PM ETMinnesota Timberwolves to win (moneyline)+280BetMGM+6.4%
Portland Trail Blazers @ Phoenix Suns9:00 PM ETPortland Trail Blazers to win (moneyline)-140Fanatics+5.4%
Dallas Mavericks @ San Antonio Spurs9:40 PM ETDallas Mavericks to win (moneyline)+475BetRivers+13.6%
Los Angeles Lakers @ Sacramento Kings10:10 PM ETSacramento Kings to win (moneyline)+525Bovada+3.1%

Fair Odds: books above Kalshi (FP1-X)

Live forward test, unproven. 48-66, -12.60 units, -11.1% return, 114 settled picks.

GameStartPickPriceBookEV
Philadelphia 76ers @ Detroit Pistons7:00 PM ETPhiladelphia 76ers to win (moneyline)+123BetRivers+3.7%
Chicago Bulls @ New York Knicks7:40 PM ETChicago Bulls to win (moneyline)+475BetMGM+12.1%
Milwaukee Bucks @ Boston Celtics7:40 PM ETMilwaukee Bucks to win (moneyline)+700Caesars+4.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Houston Rockets8:30 PM ETMinnesota Timberwolves to win (moneyline)+280BetMGM+6.4%
Portland Trail Blazers @ Phoenix Suns9:00 PM ETPortland Trail Blazers to win (moneyline)-140Fanatics+5.4%
Dallas Mavericks @ San Antonio Spurs9:40 PM ETDallas Mavericks to win (moneyline)+475BetRivers+13.6%
Los Angeles Lakers @ Sacramento Kings10:10 PM ETSacramento Kings to win (moneyline)+525Bovada+3.1%

College football

+EV scanner (EV1-X)

Live forward test, unproven. 35-126, +12.31 units, +7.6% return, 161 settled picks.

GameStartPickPriceBookEV
Toledo Rockets @ Sacramento State Hornets7:00 PM ETSacramento State Hornets to win (moneyline)+1500BetMGM+9.0%

Fair Odds: books above Kalshi (FP1-X)

Live forward test, unproven. 13-33, -16.92 units, -36.8% return, 46 settled picks (small sample).

No picks on today's slate yet.

NHL

+EV scanner (EV1-X)

Live forward test, unproven. 21-12, +12.26 units, +37.1% return, 33 settled picks (small sample).

No picks on today's slate yet.

Fair Odds: books above Kalshi (FP1-X)

Live forward test, unproven. 5-0, +5.22 units, +104.4% return, 5 settled picks (small sample).

No picks on today's slate yet.

UFC

Fighters with 1-2 UFC fights, two weeks out

Live forward test, unproven. No settled picks yet.

No picks on today's slate yet.

Heavy favourites, two weeks out

Live forward test, unproven. No settled picks yet.

No picks on today's slate yet.

Across sports

Following specialist Polymarket wallets (PM3)

Live forward test, unproven. No settled picks yet.

No picks on today's slate yet.

Following sharp Polymarket wallets (PM2)

Live forward test, unproven. 6-7, -3.25 units, -25.0% return, 13 settled picks (small sample).

No picks on today's slate yet.

Parlay Builder suggestions (PB1)

Live forward test, unproven. 10-39, -20.51 units, -41.9% return, 49 settled picks (small sample).

GameStartPickPriceBookEV
NBA 2-leg balanced parlay7:00 PM ETDetroit Pistons to win + Washington Wizards to win+307FanDuel+2.9%
NBA 3-leg balanced parlay7:00 PM ETDetroit Pistons to win + Oklahoma City Thunder to win + Washington Wizards to win+582FanDuel+0.1%
NBA 2-leg conservative parlay7:40 PM ETBoston Celtics to win + Los Angeles Lakers to win-222FanDuel+1.2%
NBA 3-leg conservative parlay7:40 PM ETBoston Celtics to win + Los Angeles Lakers to win + San Antonio Spurs to win-134FanDuel+1.3%

These are model outputs, not guarantees. A forward test can lose. See our full record, including the models that failed, and responsible gambling. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.