Priscila Cachoeira vs Nina Milosevic prediction: Priscila Cachoeira's open guard on the feet invites Nina Milošević's body shots

A defense that never arrived

Priscila Cachoeira has spent 14 UFC fights proving she will trade with anyone. The problem is what comes back. She absorbs 7.45 significant strikes a minute while landing 4.35, and opponents' strikes miss her only 46% of the time. Her February loss to Klaudia Sygula captured the pattern: she landed 99 significant strikes and still ate 151.

The aggression carries real danger early. Four of her five UFC wins came by knockout, and she put Josiane Nunes away in the first round in March 2025. But the losses have piled up just as fast: 5-9 in the UFC, 13-9 as a pro, and three straight defeats heading into Saturday. At 38, she is also eight years older than the woman across the cage, and Joselyne Edwards stopped her with a punch in 2:24 last August.

Milošević's patient body attack

Nina Milošević brings a 9-1 pro record and a 1-0 UFC mark built on one fight. Her debut against Hailey Cowan at UFC Belgrade lasted 3.7 minutes, so every per-minute rate she carries rests on a sliver of tape. What that tape showed was useful, though: she picked her shots, mixed head and body, and dropped Cowan with a punch to the body at distance for a TKO at 3:41 of the first round.

A third of her landed significant strikes went to the body, a level Cachoeira rarely has to defend against. Cowan arrived 0-3 in the UFC, so the debut says more about Milošević's composure than her ceiling. Her only pro loss was a split decision to Cecilie Bolander, and before the UFC she beat the unbeaten Dina Osman at BRAVE CF. She is 5'5" to Cachoeira's 5'7", yet she holds the longer reach at 67 inches.

"I'm the first Serbian fighter to win gold; in Belgrade, for Serbia, for the first time," Milošević said of her IMMAF title.

The ground is the back door

If the striking stalls, Cachoeira's other weakness waits on the mat. Five of her nine UFC losses came by submission, most recently an armbar from mount by Chelsea Chandler in June after Cachoeira's early aggression gave way to a takedown. Jasmine Jasudavicius finished her with an anaconda choke before that.

Milošević didn't attempt a takedown in her debut, but she owns two submission wins as a pro. Cachoeira stops 70% of takedown attempts in the UFC, which keeps most fights standing. Against her defense standing, that may be exactly where Milošević wants it.

What the price says

The market makes Milošević a heavy favorite at -480, about 78.8% after removing the books' margin, with Cachoeira at +350. The Serbian has firmed since our feed first saw her at -445. That confidence rests on a one-fight UFC résumé against a winless opponent, set against a veteran whose striking defense and submission record have failed her for years. Cachoeira's path is the one she has always had: land something heavy in the first few minutes before the fight settles.