NFL Division rematches: ATS Record Since 1999
The second meeting of the season. 2,782 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 1355-1355-72 (50.0%)
Straight up: 1390-1390-2 (50.0%)
Over/under: 1362-1368-52 (49.9% overs)
Average cover margin: 0 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 723-723 (50.0%); 2013-2026: 632-632 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
This week’s games that fit
- 2026-11-08: SEA vs ARI
- 2026-11-08: ARI at SEA
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3-3 | 50.0% |
| 2025 | 51-51 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 49-49-2 | 50.0% |
| 2023 | 47-47-2 | 50.0% |
| 2022 | 51-51-2 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 49-49-4 | 50.0% |
| 2020 | 51-51 | 50.0% |
| 2019 | 44-44-8 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 49-49 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 48-48-2 | 50.0% |
| 2016 | 48-48 | 50.0% |
| 2015 | 46-46-6 | 50.0% |
| 2014 | 47-47-4 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 49-49-2 | 50.0% |
| 2012 | 49-49 | 50.0% |
| 2011 | 47-47-2 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 50-50-2 | 50.0% |
| 2009 | 47-47-4 | 50.0% |
| 2008 | 50-50 | 50.0% |
| 2007 | 49-49 | 50.0% |
| 2006 | 48-48-4 | 50.0% |
| 2005 | 46-46-6 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 48-48-4 | 50.0% |
| 2003 | 48-48 | 50.0% |
| 2002 | 49-49 | 50.0% |
| 2001 | 64-64-4 | 50.0% |
| 2000 | 67-67-4 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 61-61-10 | 50.0% |
By team
Arizona Cardinals · Atlanta Falcons · Baltimore Ravens · Buffalo Bills · Carolina Panthers · Chicago Bears · Cincinnati Bengals · Cleveland Browns · Dallas Cowboys · Denver Broncos · Detroit Lions · Green Bay Packers · Houston Texans · Indianapolis Colts · Jacksonville Jaguars · Kansas City Chiefs · Los Angeles Rams · Los Angeles Chargers · Las Vegas Raiders · Miami Dolphins · Minnesota Vikings · New England Patriots · New Orleans Saints · New York Giants · New York Jets · Philadelphia Eagles · Pittsburgh Steelers · Seattle Seahawks · San Francisco 49ers · Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Tennessee Titans · Washington Commanders
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL division rematches?
1355-1355-72 against the spread (50.0%) in 2,782 team-games since 1999, 1390-1390-2 straight up and 1362-1368-52 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -4.5%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 723-723 (50.0%); 2013-2026: 632-632 (50.0%).