NFL Division rematches: New England Patriots: ATS Record Since 1999
The second meeting of the season. 87 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 47-37-3 (56.0%)
Straight up: 53-34 (60.9%)
Over/under: 50-35-2 (58.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 3.01 points
Is it real?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 30-16 (65.2%); 2013-2025: 17-21 (44.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2024 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2022 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2020 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2019 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2018 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2017 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2016 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2015 | 0-2-1 | 0.0% |
| 2014 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2013 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2012 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2011 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2009 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2008 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2007 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2006 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2005 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2004 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2003 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2001 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2000 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 1999 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL division rematches for the New England Patriots?
47-37-3 against the spread (56.0%) in 87 team-games since 1999, 53-34 straight up and 50-35-2 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 30-16 (65.2%); 2013-2025: 17-21 (44.7%).