NFL Division rematches: Denver Broncos: ATS Record Since 1999

The second meeting of the season. 86 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 36-47-3 (43.4%)
Straight up: 42-44 (48.8%)
Over/under: 40-43-3 (48.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.73 points

Is it real?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 17-25 (40.5%); 2013-2026: 19-22 (46.3%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20261-0100.0%
20251-233.3%
20242-166.7%
20232-166.7%
20221-233.3%
20211-233.3%
20202-166.7%
20191-233.3%
20181-233.3%
20170-30.0%
20162-166.7%
20150-30.0%
20143-0100.0%
20132-250.0%
20122-166.7%
20112-166.7%
20101-1-150.0%
20090-30.0%
20080-30.0%
20071-233.3%
20060-30.0%
20052-166.7%
20040-2-10.0%
20033-0100.0%
20021-233.3%
20013-175.0%
20000-3-10.0%
19992-250.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL division rematches for the Denver Broncos?

36-47-3 against the spread (43.4%) in 86 team-games since 1999, 42-44 straight up and 40-43-3 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 5 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

1999-2012: 17-25 (40.5%); 2013-2026: 19-22 (46.3%).

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