NFL Division rematches: New Orleans Saints: ATS Record Since 1999

The second meeting of the season. 87 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 51-36 (58.6%)
Straight up: 51-36 (58.6%)
Over/under: 35-52 (40.2% overs)
Average cover margin: 2.15 points

Is it real?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 8 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 22-24 (47.8%); 2013-2025: 29-12 (70.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20253-0100.0%
20242-166.7%
20233-0100.0%
20221-233.3%
20213-0100.0%
20203-175.0%
20193-0100.0%
20182-166.7%
20172-250.0%
20163-0100.0%
20153-0100.0%
20140-30.0%
20131-233.3%
20121-233.3%
20113-0100.0%
20102-166.7%
20090-30.0%
20082-166.7%
20072-166.7%
20062-166.7%
20050-30.0%
20043-0100.0%
20030-30.0%
20021-233.3%
20011-325.0%
20004-180.0%
19991-325.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL division rematches for the New Orleans Saints?

51-36 against the spread (58.6%) in 87 team-games since 1999, 51-36 straight up and 35-52 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

A bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 8 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

1999-2012: 22-24 (47.8%); 2013-2025: 29-12 (70.7%).

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