NFL Division rematches: Minnesota Vikings: ATS Record Since 1999

The second meeting of the season. 86 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 39-45-2 (46.4%)
Straight up: 45-40-1 (52.9%)
Over/under: 42-43-1 (49.4% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.03 points

Is it real?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 17-28 (37.8%); 2013-2025: 22-17 (56.4%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20252-166.7%
20242-166.7%
20230-30.0%
20221-233.3%
20211-233.3%
20201-233.3%
20192-166.7%
20182-166.7%
20172-166.7%
20161-233.3%
20153-0100.0%
20142-166.7%
20133-0100.0%
20123-175.0%
20111-233.3%
20100-30.0%
20091-1-150.0%
20081-233.3%
20071-233.3%
20062-166.7%
20053-0100.0%
20041-325.0%
20030-30.0%
20022-166.7%
20011-325.0%
20001-325.0%
19990-3-10.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL division rematches for the Minnesota Vikings?

39-45-2 against the spread (46.4%) in 86 team-games since 1999, 45-40-1 straight up and 42-43-1 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 2 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

1999-2012: 17-28 (37.8%); 2013-2025: 22-17 (56.4%).

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