NFL Division rematches: Atlanta Falcons: ATS Record Since 1999
The second meeting of the season. 84 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 36-46-2 (43.9%)
Straight up: 38-46 (45.2%)
Over/under: 40-43-1 (48.2% overs)
Average cover margin: -1.31 points
Is it real?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 19-24 (44.2%); 2013-2025: 17-22 (43.6%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2022 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2021 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2020 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2019 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2018 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2017 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2016 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2015 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2014 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2013 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2012 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2011 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2009 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2008 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2007 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2006 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2005 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2004 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2003 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2002 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2001 | 0-3-1 | 0.0% |
| 2000 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 1999 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL division rematches for the Atlanta Falcons?
36-46-2 against the spread (43.9%) in 84 team-games since 1999, 38-46 straight up and 40-43-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 4 times, so it is consistent with luck.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 19-24 (44.2%); 2013-2025: 17-22 (43.6%).