NFL Division rematches: Chicago Bears: ATS Record Since 1999

The second meeting of the season. 86 team-games since 1999.

Against the spread: 35-48-3 (42.2%)
Straight up: 37-49 (43.0%)
Over/under: 38-47-1 (44.7% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.66 points

Is it real?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 6 times, so it is consistent with luck. 1999-2012: 19-25 (43.2%); 2013-2025: 16-23 (41.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.

By season

SeasonATSCover %
20253-175.0%
20241-233.3%
20232-166.7%
20220-30.0%
20210-2-10.0%
20201-233.3%
20190-30.0%
20183-0100.0%
20171-233.3%
20162-166.7%
20151-233.3%
20142-166.7%
20130-30.0%
20120-30.0%
20112-166.7%
20102-250.0%
20092-166.7%
20080-30.0%
20072-166.7%
20061-233.3%
20051-1-150.0%
20041-1-150.0%
20031-233.3%
20020-30.0%
20013-175.0%
20002-250.0%
19992-250.0%

Questions

What is the ATS record of NFL division rematches for the Chicago Bears?

35-48-3 against the spread (42.2%) in 86 team-games since 1999, 37-49 straight up and 38-47-1 on the over/under.

Is this trend likely to be luck?

Betting against it, a bettor with no edge makes this much profit about 1 in 6 times, so it is consistent with luck.

Did it hold up?

1999-2012: 19-25 (43.2%); 2013-2025: 16-23 (41.0%).

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