NFL Division rematches: Houston Texans: ATS Record Since 1999
The second meeting of the season. 73 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 36-35-2 (50.7%)
Straight up: 34-39 (46.6%)
Over/under: 32-41 (43.8% overs)
Average cover margin: 0.51 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.2%), so there is no edge to explain. 2002-2013: 18-17 (51.4%); 2014-2025: 18-18 (50.0%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2024 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2023 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2022 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2021 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2020 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2019 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2018 | 2-2 | 50.0% |
| 2017 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2016 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2014 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2013 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2012 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2011 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% |
| 2010 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2009 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2008 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2007 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2006 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2005 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2004 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2003 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2002 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL division rematches for the Houston Texans?
36-35-2 against the spread (50.7%) in 73 team-games since 1999, 34-39 straight up and 32-41 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting it returns -3.2%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
2002-2013: 18-17 (51.4%); 2014-2025: 18-18 (50.0%).