NFL Division rematches: Indianapolis Colts: ATS Record Since 1999
The second meeting of the season. 86 team-games since 1999.
Against the spread: 41-43-2 (48.8%)
Straight up: 53-33 (61.6%)
Over/under: 38-47-1 (44.7% overs)
Average cover margin: -0.79 points
Is it real?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.3%), so there is no edge to explain. 1999-2012: 22-23 (48.9%); 2013-2025: 19-20 (48.7%). Break-even at -110 is 52.4%.
By season
| Season | ATS | Cover % |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2024 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2023 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2022 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2021 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2020 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2019 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2018 | 3-1 | 75.0% |
| 2017 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2016 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2015 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2014 | 2-0-1 | 100.0% |
| 2013 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2012 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2011 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2010 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2009 | 3-0 | 100.0% |
| 2008 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2007 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2006 | 0-3 | 0.0% |
| 2005 | 2-1 | 66.7% |
| 2004 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2003 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2002 | 1-2 | 33.3% |
| 2001 | 1-3 | 25.0% |
| 2000 | 2-3 | 40.0% |
| 1999 | 1-2-1 | 33.3% |
Questions
What is the ATS record of NFL division rematches for the Indianapolis Colts?
41-43-2 against the spread (48.8%) in 86 team-games since 1999, 53-33 straight up and 38-47-1 on the over/under.
Is this trend likely to be luck?
Neither side beats the -110 price (betting against it returns -2.3%), so there is no edge to explain.
Did it hold up?
1999-2012: 22-23 (48.9%); 2013-2025: 19-20 (48.7%).