St Louis Blues vs Nashville Predators prediction: Nashville's elite special teams test a disciplined Blues side
The Predators carry a top-five power play and a top-three penalty kill into a near-even matchup, and the Blues rarely give them a chance to use either.
| Line | St. Louis Blues -110 (puck line -1.5) |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 5.5 |
- Two low-shot teams, tight margins, and a game likely swung by one power play or one save.
- Nashville's power play (29.6%, 5th) against a Blues team that is shorthanded just 2.62 times a game, 3rd-fewest in the league.
- The Blues are the slimmest of moneyline favorites at -110 against Nashville's -109; Nashville is 11-5 on the puck line this season.
Where Nashville holds the edge
Nashville's season looks ordinary at even strength, but its special teams are anything but. The Predators convert 29.6% of their power plays (power-play goals per opportunity), 5th in the league, and kill off 90.0% of opponents' chances, 3rd of 32.
St. Louis has a counter: it simply doesn't take many penalties. The Blues are shorthanded 2.62 times per game, 3rd-fewest in the league. When they do sit someone, their penalty kill holds up at 85.7%, 6th overall. If the Blues keep the whistles quiet, they take away Nashville's sharpest weapon. If they don't, Roman Josi and Filip Forsberg are running a unit that has been punishing teams all season.
The Blues' own power play sits at 21.3%, 18th, and they draw few chances. Against that Nashville kill, St. Louis likely needs its goals at five-on-five.
Two goalies, one question
Neither team has confirmed a starter, and the previews disagree in places. Joel Hofer is the probable starter for St. Louis after Jordan Binnington started Thursday in New Jersey. The gap between them is stark: Hofer carries a .918 save percentage and a 2.39 goals-against average, while Binnington sits at .849.
Juuse Saros is expected to start for Nashville after Justus Annunen made 30 saves in Thursday's win at Colorado. Saros is 4-3-4 with a .908 save percentage. Nashville's team save percentage ranks 4th, so the goaltending behind a team that gets outshot has held. If the Blues turn back to Binnington instead, the picture shifts sharply in Nashville's favor. These are small samples, but the split is wide enough to matter.
Outshot, but finishing
Both teams spend a lot of time defending. Nashville's shot share (its share of all shots in its games) is 46.9%, 28th in the league, and the Blues are only modestly better at 48.6%. The Predators lean on blocked shots, ranking 3rd in blocks per game.
What Nashville lacks in volume, its centers make up in finishing. Steven Stamkos has 9 goals, including Thursday's overtime winner that stretched the win streak to three games. Ryan O'Reilly is converting 24.1% of his shots. For St. Louis, Jimmy Snuggerud leads with 8 goals on a 23.5% shooting rate, a pace that rarely holds, while Mason McTavish has 7 goals on a team-high 47 shots.
Who's in, who's out
The Blues got Colton Parayko back Thursday after a two-game upper-body absence. Logan Mailloux rejoined the team after an AHL conditioning stint but remains on injured reserve, so his status for Saturday is unclear. Torey Krug (ankle) is on long-term injured reserve, and Tyler Tucker and Dillon Dube are also on injured reserve.
For Nashville, Jonathan Marchessault remains day-to-day with a lower-body injury and missed Thursday's game, with no word on Saturday. Defenseman William Trudeau is on injured reserve.
This is the second of four meetings between the Central Division rivals, and the Predators have owned the recent ones, including a 5-2 home win on Oct. 17. St. Louis closes a four-game road trip here at 3-5-1 away from home.
A market split down the middle
Books see almost nothing between these teams. St. Louis is the nominal favorite at -110, with Nashville at -109, and the puck line has the Predators at +1.5. The total sits at 6.0 and hasn't moved since our feed first saw the game.
The puck line history leans one way: Nashville is 11-5 against it this season, helped by a run of underdog wins. The Blues are 9-7 to the over, while Nashville has split its totals evenly, so neither team's history argues strongly on the 6.0.
St Louis Blues vs Nashville Predators line movement and odds
| Book | Blues ML | Predators ML | Blues spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -110 | -110 | +1.5 (-275) | o5.5 (-125) |
| DraftKings | -110 | -110 | -1.5 (+220) | o5.5 (-122) |
| ESPN BET | -110 | -110 | -1.5 (+220) | o5.5 (-120) |
| Fanatics | -110 | -110 | -1.5 (+220) | o5.5 (-120) |
| FanDuel | -110 | -110 | +1.5 (-280) | o5.5 (-120) |
| Hard Rock Bet | -115 | -115 | -1.5 (+210) | o5.5 (-120) |
| Caesars | -112 | -108 | +1.5 (-275) | o5.5 (-124) |
Where the money is on St Louis Blues vs Nashville Predators
On the Kalshi moneyline: St Louis Blues: 35% of bets, 37% of the money; Nashville Predators: 65% of bets, 63% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: St Louis Blues -1.5: 57% of bets, 63% of the money; Nashville Predators +1.5: 43% of bets, 38% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 5.5: 81% of bets, 81% of the money; Under 5.5: 19% of bets, 19% of the money.
Key players
- Joel Hofer (St. Louis Blues): Hofer owns a .918 save percentage and a 2.39 goals-against average in 11 games this season.
- Jimmy Snuggerud (St. Louis Blues): Snuggerud leads the Blues with 8 goals this season while shooting 23.5%.
- Mason McTavish (St. Louis Blues): McTavish has 7 goals and a team-high 47 shots this season.
- Philip Broberg (St. Louis Blues): Broberg logs 24.3 minutes a night and has 12 points this season.
- Juuse Saros (Nashville Predators): Saros is 4-3-4 with a .908 save percentage and 2.77 goals-against average this season.
- Filip Forsberg (Nashville Predators): Forsberg leads Nashville with 19 points in 16 games this season.
- Roman Josi (Nashville Predators): Josi has 16 assists while playing 25.5 minutes per game this season.
- Steven Stamkos (Nashville Predators): Stamkos leads the Predators with 9 goals this season, including Thursday's overtime winner.
Numbers that matter
| Nashville power play | 29.6% | Ranks 5th in the league and is Nashville's clearest edge in this matchup. |
|---|---|---|
| Blues times shorthanded per game | 2.62 | Third-fewest in the league, which limits how often Nashville's power play gets to work. |
| Nashville penalty kill | 90.0% | Ranks 3rd, a tough wall for a Blues power play ranked 18th. |
| Blues moneyline | -110 | St. Louis is the slimmest of favorites, with Nashville at -109 at home. |
| Nashville puck line record | 11-5 | The Predators have been one of the more reliable teams against the puck line this season. |
St Louis Blues vs Nashville Predators: quick answers
What is the over/under for St Louis Blues vs Nashville Predators?
The total is 5.5 goals.
When is St Louis Blues vs Nashville Predators?
Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET.
Has the line moved for St Louis Blues vs Nashville Predators?
No: St Louis Blues has stayed at -1.5, and the total moved from 6.5 to 5.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on St Louis Blues vs Nashville Predators?
On the Kalshi moneyline: St Louis Blues: 35% of bets, 37% of the money; Nashville Predators: 65% of bets, 63% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: St Louis Blues -1.5: 57% of bets, 63% of the money; Nashville Predators +1.5: 43% of bets, 38% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 5.5: 81% of bets, 81% of the money; Under 5.5: 19% of bets, 19% of the money.