Winnipeg Jets vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction: Jets chase a sixth straight win against Chicago's league-worst offense
Winnipeg's surge has outrun its goaltending so far, and Chicago barely shoots enough to test Stuart Skinner.
Chicago Blackhawks covered the closing puck line (Winnipeg Jets -1.5). The game went over the closing total of 6.5.
| Line | Winnipeg Jets -160 (puck line -1.5) |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 6.5 |
- Winnipeg should own the puck against a Chicago team 31st in shot share, but two struggling probable goalies keep the scoreline volatile.
- Special teams: Winnipeg's 10th-ranked power play against Chicago's middling kill, while Chicago's last-place power play faces a soft Jets kill.
- Winnipeg is a -162 favorite, and the total has dropped from 6.5 to 6.0 since our feed first saw it.
A streak against the basement
Winnipeg arrives having won five straight, capped by an 8-3 demolition in Dallas on Thursday in which Mark Scheifele tied Dale Hawerchuk for the franchise points record at 929. The Jets were underdogs in four of those five wins and covered the puck line in every one.
Chicago sits at 5-13-1 and ranks 32nd of 32 in goals per game at 2.21. The Blackhawks did snap a six-game losing streak Thursday on Ryan Donato's overtime winner against Buffalo. The United Center has also been kinder to them: they are 5-5-0 at home and 0-8-1 on the road. They beat these Jets 4-3 here on Oct. 15, the only meeting so far this season.
Two goalies with something to prove
This is the angle that could flip the expected script. Stuart Skinner is the probable starter for Winnipeg, though the club had not confirmed him, and there is no Jets morning skate Saturday. He carries an 88.6% save percentage and a 3.24 goals-against average this season. He was pulled in each of two straight starts heading into early November before steadying, and he made 30 saves in Dallas.
The Jets are living with this after trading Connor Hellebuyck to New Jersey in a deal that brought back Dawson Mercer and Nico Daws. Daws projects as the backup.
Spencer Knight is Chicago's probable starter, also unconfirmed. His 88.3% save percentage and 3.53 goals-against average reflect a team that allows 30.3 shots per game, 30th in the league. He made 21 saves against Buffalo.
Chicago can't find the net
The Blackhawks average 22.9 shots on goal per game, 31st in the league, and their shot share (their portion of all shots in their games) is 43.1%, also 31st. That suggests Winnipeg should spend long stretches in the Chicago zone.
Kyle Connor is the Jets' finisher, with 16 goals on 84 shots. Chicago's scoring leans on Roman Kantserov, whose 9 goals have come on just 32 shots, a 28.1% shooting rate that is hard to sustain. Connor Bedard has 15 points in 13 games. Patrick Kane returned Thursday from an upper-body injury, played 17:39 and is still chasing a goal: his only one came in the opener, a career-long 14-game drought.
One quirk: Winnipeg scores just 0.6 first-period goals per game (30th), while Chicago allows 1.42 (31st). Winnipeg's slow starts meet Chicago's leaky first periods, so the opening 20 minutes could tell us a lot.
Special teams tilt north
Winnipeg's power play converts 24.2% of its chances (power-play goals per opportunity), 10th in the league. Chicago's penalty kill sits at 78.3%, 15th. The other side looks even more lopsided: Chicago's power play is last at 11.1%, but the Jets' kill is 22nd at 74.6%, so a Blackhawks man advantage is not automatically harmless.
Blue line shuffle and the market
Winnipeg lost Dylan DeMelo to a lower-body injury in Dallas; he went on injured reserve Friday and is week-to-week. He had been on the top pair with Josh Morrissey, who returned Nov. 10. Haydn Fleury is expected to slot in, though Henry Thrun was recalled. Isak Rosén is out, and Nino Niederreiter is projected to return.
Chicago's Bowen Byram skated Friday in a non-contact jersey and is expected to miss his 13th straight game.
The market makes Winnipeg a -162 favorite, with Chicago at +136 and +1.5 on the puck line. The total has slid from 6.5 to 6.0, an interesting move given both goalies' numbers. Winnipeg is 12-8 against the puck line this season; Chicago is 7-12.
Winnipeg Jets vs Chicago Blackhawks line movement and odds
| Book | Jets ML | Blackhawks ML | Jets spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -155 | +125 | -1.5 (+140) | o6.5 (-105) |
| DraftKings | -162 | +136 | -1.5 (+154) | o6.5 (+105) |
| ESPN BET | -165 | +140 | -1.5 (+145) | o6.5 (+105) |
| Fanatics | -165 | +135 | -1.5 (+155) | o6.5 (+105) |
| FanDuel | -164 | +136 | -1.5 (+146) | o6.5 (+106) |
| Hard Rock Bet | -175 | +135 | -1.5 (+140) | o6.5 (+100) |
| Caesars | -175 | +145 | -1.5 (+135) | o6.5 (-108) |
Where the money is on Winnipeg Jets vs Chicago Blackhawks
On the Kalshi moneyline: Winnipeg Jets: 68% of bets, 68% of the money; Chicago Blackhawks: 32% of bets, 32% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Winnipeg Jets -1.5: 82% of bets, 75% of the money; Chicago Blackhawks +1.5: 18% of bets, 25% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 6.5: 54% of bets, 65% of the money; Under 6.5: 46% of bets, 35% of the money.
Key players
- Kyle Connor (Winnipeg Jets): Connor has 16 goals and 24 points in 20 games this season.
- Mark Scheifele (Winnipeg Jets): Scheifele has 16 assists this season and tied the franchise points record at 929 on Thursday.
- Stuart Skinner (Winnipeg Jets): Skinner owns an 88.6% save percentage and a 3.24 goals-against average in 14 games this season.
- Connor Bedard (Chicago Blackhawks): Bedard has 15 points in 13 games this season.
- Roman Kantserov (Chicago Blackhawks): Kantserov leads Chicago with 9 goals on 32 shots this season.
- Patrick Kane (Chicago Blackhawks): Kane has 8 assists but only 1 goal in 16 games this season.
- Spencer Knight (Chicago Blackhawks): Knight has an 88.3% save percentage and a 3.53 goals-against average in 15 games this season.
Numbers that matter
| Chicago shots per game | 22.9 | 31st in the league, the root of an offense that ranks last in scoring. |
|---|---|---|
| Jets power play | 24.2% | 10th in the league, facing a Chicago kill ranked 15th. |
| Skinner save percentage | 88.6% | The probable Jets starter's mark this season, the biggest risk to Winnipeg's favorite status. |
| Jets moneyline | -162 | Winnipeg is the road favorite after five straight wins. |
| Total | 6.0 | Down from 6.5 when our feed first recorded the game. |
Winnipeg Jets vs Chicago Blackhawks: quick answers
What was the final score of Winnipeg Jets vs Chicago Blackhawks?
Winnipeg Jets 5, Chicago Blackhawks 4 (final). Chicago Blackhawks covered the closing puck line (Winnipeg Jets -1.5). The game went over the closing total of 6.5.
What is the over/under for Winnipeg Jets vs Chicago Blackhawks?
The total is 6.5 goals.
When is Winnipeg Jets vs Chicago Blackhawks?
Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:40 PM ET.
Has the line moved for Winnipeg Jets vs Chicago Blackhawks?
No: Winnipeg Jets has stayed at -1.5, and the total moved from 5.5 to 6.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on Winnipeg Jets vs Chicago Blackhawks?
On the Kalshi moneyline: Winnipeg Jets: 68% of bets, 68% of the money; Chicago Blackhawks: 32% of bets, 32% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Winnipeg Jets -1.5: 82% of bets, 75% of the money; Chicago Blackhawks +1.5: 18% of bets, 25% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 6.5: 54% of bets, 65% of the money; Under 6.5: 46% of bets, 35% of the money.