San Jose Sharks vs Utah Mammoth prediction: Mammoth's elite power play faces Sharks without Cooley and Guenther
Utah outshoots nearly everyone and converts a third of its power plays, but injuries have stripped its scoring just as a penalty-prone San Jose team arrives.
San Jose Sharks covered the closing puck line (San Jose Sharks +1.5). The game went over the closing total of 6.5.
| Line | Utah Mammoth -185 (puck line -1.5) |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 6 |
- Utah should control the puck and the shot count; whether a thinned forward group can finish decides if it ends a four-game skid.
- Utah's power play, 2nd in the league, against a Sharks team that ranks 28th in times shorthanded per game.
- Utah is a -200 favorite and the total has dropped from 6.5 to 6.0; Utah is 6-14 against the puck line this season.
A power play missing shooters
Utah carries one of the league's most dangerous power plays into a four-game losing streak, and San Jose is exactly the kind of opponent that feeds it. The question is who is left to shoot. Logan Cooley is listed out with an upper-body injury, Dylan Guenther is on injured reserve for 2-4 weeks, and Nick Schmaltz is day-to-day after a game-time scratch Thursday.
The Mammoth convert 34.3% of their power plays (power-play goals per opportunity), 2nd of 32. The Sharks are shorthanded 3.57 times a game, 28th, and their penalty kill ranks 20th. That is the clearest edge in this game.
It can cut both ways. San Jose draws 3.76 power plays a game, 3rd in the league, and Utah's penalty kill sits 26th at 71.2%.
The absences hit hard. Cooley leads Utah with 11 goals, and Schmaltz has nine. Clayton Keller, with 20 assists, now has fewer finishers to feed. The blue line is thin too: Nate Schmidt is week-to-week, and John Marino and Maveric Lamoureux are on injured reserve. Call-ups Ben McCartney and Zac Jones made their Mammoth debuts Thursday.
Shots for Utah, saves for nobody
Utah controls games. Its 53.7% shot share (its share of all shots in its games) ranks 4th, and it allows just 25.1 shots a game, also 4th. San Jose gives up 30.4 shots a game, 31st, and its finishing has been worse: the Sharks score on 8.7% of their shots, last in the league.
The Mammoth's problem sits at the other end. Their team save percentage of 86.5% ranks 30th, which is how a team that wins the shot battle can sit at 10-8-2. Thursday showed the other side of that. Utah lost 1-0 to St. Louis in an eight-round shootout after Joel Hofer made 29 saves.
Two goalies needing a night
Karel Vejmelka is the probable starter for Utah after stopping 22 shots Thursday. His season line is a .879 save percentage. Yaroslav Askarov is expected to start for San Jose, carrying a .894 save percentage, and he stopped 30 shots in Monday's shootout win over the Islanders. That was San Jose's only November win, and the Sharks have no regulation win since Oct. 29. Neither team has confirmed its starter.
Macklin Celebrini drives everything San Jose creates, with 23 points in 19 games. His supporting cast is in flux: Igor Chernyshov's status is unsettled, with conflicting reports on an upper-body injury, and Alexander Wennberg is listed day-to-day though his coach called him week-to-week Thursday. Goalie Kyle Keyser and Quentin Musty are out until at least Dec. 1.
What the market is saying
Utah is a -200 favorite, with San Jose at +170. The total has slid from 6.5 when our feed first saw the game to 6.0, a nod to Utah's missing scorers and to how few goals have come in recent Sharks games.
The puck line asks a lot of Utah. The Mammoth must win by two at -1.5, and they are 6-14 on the puck line this season. San Jose has gone under in 12 of 21 games.
The Sharks won two of three meetings last season.
San Jose Sharks vs Utah Mammoth line movement and odds
| Book | Sharks ML | Mammoth ML | Sharks spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +155 | -190 | +1.5 (-155) | o6 (-120) |
| DraftKings | +154 | -185 | +1.5 (-155) | o6.5 (+105) |
| ESPN BET | +160 | -190 | +1.5 (-160) | o6.5 (+115) |
| Fanatics | +150 | -180 | +1.5 (-160) | o6.5 (+105) |
| FanDuel | +152 | -184 | +1.5 (-164) | o6.5 (+102) |
| Hard Rock Bet | +150 | -195 | +1.5 (-165) | o6.5 (+105) |
| Caesars | +150 | -185 | +1.5 (-152) | o6 (-122) |
Where the money is on San Jose Sharks vs Utah Mammoth
On the Kalshi moneyline: San Jose Sharks: 55% of bets, 51% of the money; Utah Mammoth: 45% of bets, 50% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Utah Mammoth -1.5: 61% of bets, 55% of the money; San Jose Sharks +1.5: 39% of bets, 45% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 6.5: 43% of bets, 39% of the money; Under 6.5: 57% of bets, 61% of the money.
San Jose Sharks vs Utah Mammoth stats (this season)
| Stat | San Jose Sharks | Utah Mammoth |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-11-2 | 10-8-2 |
| Goals per game | 2.43 (29th of 32) | 3.30 (12th of 32) |
| Goals allowed per game | 3.43 (23rd of 32) | 3.40 (20th of 32) |
| Goal differential per game | -1.00 (28th of 32) | -0.10 (18th of 32) |
| Shots on goal per game | 28.0 (12th of 32) | 29.1 (8th of 32) |
| Shots allowed per game | 30.4 (30th of 32) | 25.1 (4th of 32) |
| Shot share | 47.9% (26th of 32) | 53.7% (4th of 32) |
| Shooting % | 8.7% (32nd of 32) | 11.3% (18th of 32) |
| Team save % | 88.7% (13th of 32) | 86.5% (30th of 32) |
| Power play % | 19.0% (23rd of 32) | 34.3% (2nd of 32) |
| Penalty kill % | 76.0% (20th of 32) | 71.2% (26th of 32) |
| Faceoff % | 46.9% (27th of 32) | 53.5% (7th of 32) |
Key players
- Clayton Keller (Utah Mammoth): Keller leads Utah with 25 points this season, 20 of them assists.
- Mikhail Sergachev (Utah Mammoth): Sergachev has 20 points this season while logging 24.4 minutes a night on a depleted blue line.
- Karel Vejmelka (Utah Mammoth): Vejmelka carries a .879 save percentage and a 3.02 goals-against average this season.
- Macklin Celebrini (San Jose Sharks): Celebrini has 23 points in 19 games this season, 1.21 per game.
- Will Smith (San Jose Sharks): Smith has seven goals this season on a team that ranks last in shooting percentage.
- Yaroslav Askarov (San Jose Sharks): Askarov has a .894 save percentage across 14 games this season.
Numbers that matter
| Utah power play | 34.3% | Second in the NHL, facing a Sharks team that ranks 28th in times shorthanded. |
|---|---|---|
| Utah shot share | 53.7% | Fourth in the league, against a San Jose team that allows the 2nd-most shots per game. |
| Utah team save % | 86.5% | Ranks 30th, the main reason Utah's shot dominance hasn't produced more wins. |
| Sharks shooting % | 8.7% | Last in the NHL, which caps San Jose's ability to punish Utah's goaltending. |
| Utah puck line record | 6-14 | Utah has rarely won by two or more, the margin it needs to cover at -1.5. |
San Jose Sharks vs Utah Mammoth: quick answers
What was the final score of San Jose Sharks vs Utah Mammoth?
San Jose Sharks 6, Utah Mammoth 5 (final). San Jose Sharks covered the closing puck line (San Jose Sharks +1.5). The game went over the closing total of 6.5.
What is the over/under for San Jose Sharks vs Utah Mammoth?
The total is 6 goals.
When is San Jose Sharks vs Utah Mammoth?
Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 9:10 PM ET.
Where is San Jose Sharks vs Utah Mammoth played?
Delta Center, Salt Lake City.
Has the line moved for San Jose Sharks vs Utah Mammoth?
No: San Jose Sharks has stayed at +1.5, and the total is still 6.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on San Jose Sharks vs Utah Mammoth?
On the Kalshi moneyline: San Jose Sharks: 55% of bets, 51% of the money; Utah Mammoth: 45% of bets, 50% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Utah Mammoth -1.5: 61% of bets, 55% of the money; San Jose Sharks +1.5: 39% of bets, 45% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 6.5: 43% of bets, 39% of the money; Under 6.5: 57% of bets, 61% of the money.