Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings prediction: Flames' power play eyes a Kings penalty kill ranked 29th
Calgary owns one of the league's sharpest power plays, the Kings own one of its weakest kills, and the only question is whether the Flames can finally draw the penalties to use it.
| Line | Los Angeles Kings -170 (puck line -1.5) |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 5.5 |
- Two struggling teams in a game likely settled by a handful of chances, with special teams and shaky goaltending deciding which side finishes.
- Calgary's power play, converting 29.5% (4th), against a Kings kill at 66.1% (29th). The catch: the Flames draw the fewest power plays in the league.
- Kings -175, Flames +145, total 5.5, unchanged since our feed first saw it. Los Angeles is 2-7-0 at home, which complicates that price.
A mismatch waiting to happen
The sharpest edge in this game sits on the man advantage. Calgary's power play converts 29.5% of its chances (power-play goals per opportunity), 4th of 32. The Kings' penalty kill stops just 66.1% of opposing power plays, 29th in the league.
The problem for Calgary is getting there. The Flames draw 2.32 power plays per game, dead last in the NHL, so the most dangerous weapon in their kit rarely comes out. Los Angeles works the other side of that ledger better, drawing 3.41 per game (8th), but it runs into a Calgary kill at 81.4% (9th). Whichever team wins the penalty count probably decides who gets to exploit its best matchup.
Two goalies under pressure
Dustin Wolf is the probable starter for Calgary, and his season has been rough: a .869 save percentage and a 3.75 goals-against average. Devin Cooley has been the steadier option at .914, and he was in net for Tuesday's 1-3 loss to the Rangers, so the Flames turning back to Wolf after a few days off makes sense, though no starter has been confirmed.
Darcy Kuemper is the expected starter for the Kings, also unconfirmed. His .873 save percentage isn't much better than Wolf's, while backup Anton Forsberg sits at .907. Neither probable starter has given his team many saves to lean on, which is how a team ranked in the bottom third in scoring can still find a few goals.
Home ice has been no help
The Kings are 2-7-0 at Crypto.com Arena, and the recent stretch has been worse than the record suggests. Pittsburgh, Nashville and the Islanders all won in Los Angeles in the past week and a half, each time with the Kings favored, by scores of 2-5, 0-3 and 2-5.
The underlying play isn't the problem it appears to be. Los Angeles controls 50.4% of the shots in its games (12th), while Calgary sits at 48.1%. The issue is finishing and goaltending at both ends. Artemi Panarin carries the offense with 8 goals and 19 points; Adrian Kempe adds 13 points. For Calgary, Joel Farabee leads with 17 points, but the Flames shoot just 9.0%, 30th in the league, and are 2-5-1 on the road.
Calgary's thinning lineup
The Flames arrive short-handed. Jonathan Huberdeau (hip) is on injured reserve and did not travel for this three-game road trip, with a target return of Nov. 19. Defenseman Kevin Bahl ruptured his Achilles tendon and is out for the season. Connor Zary remains out after knee surgery, last updated Oct. 30, and Sam Honzek was placed on injured reserve with a lower-body injury as of Nov. 7. There is no fresh word on Mikael Backlund (upper body), who had been working toward a return.
The Kings list Erik Gustafsson as day-to-day as of Friday, and Jakub Dvorak remains on injured reserve, with his listing last updated in September.
Reading the market
Books have the Kings at -175 and the Flames at +145, with Los Angeles -1.5 on the puck line and the total at 5.5. None of it has moved since our feed first saw the game.
That price asks a lot of a team that keeps losing at home as a favorite. Calgary won 3-1 in the last meeting, in April, and has been an underdog in four of its last five games, including a 4-3 overtime win over Philadelphia on Nov. 8. The total looks reasonable for two teams this short on finishing, but two goalies this short on saves can push it either way.
Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings line movement and odds
| Book | Flames ML | Kings ML | Flames spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +130 | -165 | +1.5 (-190) | o5.5 (-120) |
| DraftKings | +145 | -175 | +1.5 (-180) | o5.5 (-115) |
| ESPN BET | +140 | -165 | +1.5 (-190) | o5.5 (-115) |
| Fanatics | +140 | -170 | +1.5 (-185) | o5.5 (-115) |
| FanDuel | +142 | -172 | +1.5 (-188) | o5.5 (-114) |
| Hard Rock Bet | +130 | -170 | +1.5 (-185) | o5.5 (-115) |
| Caesars | +145 | -173 | +1.5 (-175) | o5.5 (-118) |
Where the money is on Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings
On the Kalshi moneyline: Calgary Flames: 61% of bets, 65% of the money; Los Angeles Kings: 40% of bets, 36% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Los Angeles Kings -1.5: 43% of bets, 52% of the money; Calgary Flames +1.5: 57% of bets, 48% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 5.5: 69% of bets, 42% of the money; Under 5.5: 31% of bets, 58% of the money.
Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings stats (this season)
| Stat | Calgary Flames | Los Angeles Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-10-1 | 5-10-2 |
| Goals per game | 2.47 (28th of 32) | 2.76 (25th of 32) |
| Goals allowed per game | 3.47 (24th of 32) | 3.53 (28th of 32) |
| Goal differential per game | -1.00 (28th of 32) | -0.76 (26th of 32) |
| Shots on goal per game | 27.6 (16th of 32) | 28.1 (11th of 32) |
| Shots allowed per game | 29.7 (28th of 32) | 27.6 (16th of 32) |
| Shot share | 48.1% (25th of 32) | 50.4% (12th of 32) |
| Shooting % | 9.0% (30th of 32) | 9.9% (26th of 32) |
| Team save % | 88.3% (19th of 32) | 87.2% (27th of 32) |
| Power play % | 29.5% (4th of 32) | 22.4% (14th of 32) |
| Penalty kill % | 81.4% (9th of 32) | 66.1% (29th of 32) |
| Faceoff % | 47.6% (24th of 32) | 51.0% (12th of 32) |
Key players
- Dustin Wolf (Calgary Flames): Wolf carries an .869 save percentage and a 3.75 goals-against average this season.
- Devin Cooley (Calgary Flames): Cooley has been Calgary's better goalie this season at .914, and started the Nov. 11 loss to the Rangers.
- Joel Farabee (Calgary Flames): Farabee leads the Flames with 17 points and 7 goals this season.
- Matt Coronato (Calgary Flames): Coronato has 15 points this season, 11 of them assists.
- Darcy Kuemper (Los Angeles Kings): Kuemper has an .873 save percentage and a 3.58 goals-against average this season.
- Artemi Panarin (Los Angeles Kings): Panarin leads the Kings with 19 points and 8 goals this season.
- Adrian Kempe (Los Angeles Kings): Kempe has 13 points on 53 shots this season.
Numbers that matter
| Kings penalty kill | 66.1% | Ranked 29th of 32, the weakest unit in this matchup. |
|---|---|---|
| Flames power play | 29.5% | 4th in the league, though Calgary draws the fewest power plays of any team. |
| Wolf's save percentage | 86.9% | The probable Calgary starter has struggled behind a team allowing the 28th-most shots. |
| Kings home record | 2-7-0 | Los Angeles has lost three straight home games as the favorite. |
| Kings moneyline | -175 | Unchanged since our feed first recorded the game, with the total steady at 5.5. |
Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings: quick answers
What is the over/under for Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings?
The total is 5.5 goals.
When is Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings?
Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 10:10 PM ET.
Where is Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings played?
crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles.
Has the line moved for Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings?
No: Calgary Flames has stayed at +1.5, and the total is still 5.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on Calgary Flames vs Los Angeles Kings?
On the Kalshi moneyline: Calgary Flames: 61% of bets, 65% of the money; Los Angeles Kings: 40% of bets, 36% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Los Angeles Kings -1.5: 43% of bets, 52% of the money; Calgary Flames +1.5: 57% of bets, 48% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 5.5: 69% of bets, 42% of the money; Under 5.5: 31% of bets, 58% of the money.