Philadelphia Flyers vs Columbus Blue Jackets prediction: Two stalled offenses, two shaky starters: Flyers visit Columbus at 5.5
Philadelphia and Columbus both rank near the bottom in scoring, so the game may turn on which probable starter finally steadies his crease.
Philadelphia Flyers covered the closing puck line (Philadelphia Flyers +1.5). The game went over the closing total of 5.5.
| Line | Columbus Blue Jackets -135 (puck line -1.5) |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 5.5 |
- Expect a low-event, one-goal style game between two bottom-three offenses, with Columbus holding the edge at home and in recent meetings.
- Watch the probable starters: Dan Vladar sits at .879 and Jet Greaves at .882, both below their own backups.
- Columbus is -135 and the total of 5.5 hasn't moved; the Flyers have gone under in 13 of their games.
Goals are hard to find
Saturday's game in Columbus features two teams that have spent the fall searching for offense. Philadelphia averages 2.24 goals per game, 31st of 32. Columbus is barely better at 2.35, 30th. Something will break the logjam, and it may simply be whoever converts the few clean looks this game produces.
The Flyers' problem starts with volume. They put 24.1 shots on goal per game, 30th in the league, and own a 46.0% shot share (their portion of all shots in their games), 29th. The Blue Jackets generate more pucks on net but finish worse than almost anyone, with an 8.8% shooting percentage that ranks 31st.
The exception in orange is Matvei Michkov, who has 10 goals on just 29 shots. That 34.5% shooting rate is the kind of heater that rarely holds over a full season. He has stayed in the lineup and kept producing through a trade-request report that general manager Daniel Briere denied, saying it did not come from Michkov or his agent.
Goalies with something to prove
Neither probable starter has been sharp. Dan Vladar is expected to start for Philadelphia after making 21 saves in Wednesday's overtime loss at Edmonton. He carries an .879 save percentage and a 3.24 goals-against average, while Joseph Woll has been the better Flyers goalie at .901.
Jet Greaves is the probable starter for Columbus, though the Blue Jackets haven't confirmed it, and at least one preview considers it a toss-up with Cam Talbot. Greaves sits at .882 with a 3.34 GAA. Talbot has been steadier at .907, and he beat these Flyers on Oct. 27 with 28 saves in a 4-3 overtime win. If Talbot gets the net instead, Columbus looks stronger in goal.
Special teams and discipline
The Blue Jackets' penalty kill is their soft spot. It has killed 73.9% of opponents' power plays, 24th in the league. Philadelphia's power play hasn't punished anyone, converting 18.8% of its chances, also 24th.
Columbus limits the damage by staying out of the box. It is shorthanded 2.71 times per game, 4th-fewest. The Flyers' kill has held up better at 79.4%, 12th, which matters because the Columbus power play ranks 26th and draws few chances.
Columbus lineup questions
The biggest unknown is Sean Monahan, who left Thursday's 3-1 loss to Tampa Bay with an upper-body injury and did not return. There has been no update on his status for Saturday. He centered the second line between Valeri Nichushkin and Dmitri Voronkov. Conor Garland remains out indefinitely with an upper-body injury, as of the latest word on Nov. 9, and Isac Lundestrom is on long-term injured reserve after Achilles surgery.
Philadelphia got Rasmus Ristolainen back Wednesday after he missed seven games, and he assisted on Travis Sanheim's tying goal in Edmonton. Noel Acciari was listed day-to-day with an upper-body injury as of Nov. 12. Nikita Grebenkin is on injured reserve after back surgery. The Flyers come in with three days of rest after losing four of their last five.
What the market sees
Columbus is the moneyline favorite at -135, with Philadelphia at +115, and neither the total nor the puck line has moved since our feed first saw the game. History supports the home side: the Blue Jackets won every meeting over the last two seasons, including 2-1 and 3-2 decisions in Philadelphia last March.
Those close scores point to the puck line. Philadelphia is 12-9 against it this season, while Columbus is just 6-11. The Flyers have been an under team at 13-8 against the total, which fits two offenses this quiet.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Columbus Blue Jackets line movement and odds
| Book | Flyers ML | Jackets ML | Flyers spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +115 | -135 | +1.5 (-225) | o5.5 (-115) |
| DraftKings | +114 | -135 | +1.5 (-230) | o5.5 (-118) |
| ESPN BET | +115 | -135 | +1.5 (-235) | o5.5 (-120) |
| Fanatics | +115 | -140 | +1.5 (-235) | o5.5 (-120) |
| FanDuel | +112 | -134 | +1.5 (-235) | o5.5 (-118) |
| Hard Rock Bet | +105 | -135 | +1.5 (-250) | o5.5 (-115) |
| Caesars | +118 | -139 | +1.5 (-230) | o5.5 (-120) |
Where the money is on Philadelphia Flyers vs Columbus Blue Jackets
On the Kalshi moneyline: Philadelphia Flyers: 46% of bets, 57% of the money; Columbus Blue Jackets: 54% of bets, 43% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Columbus Blue Jackets -1.5: 60% of bets, 78% of the money; Philadelphia Flyers +1.5: 40% of bets, 22% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 5.5: 63% of bets, 64% of the money; Under 5.5: 37% of bets, 36% of the money.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Columbus Blue Jackets stats (this season)
| Stat | Philadelphia Flyers | Columbus Blue Jackets |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-10-6 | 7-10-0 |
| Goals per game | 2.24 (31st of 32) | 2.35 (30th of 32) |
| Goals allowed per game | 3.24 (19th of 32) | 3.18 (18th of 32) |
| Goal differential per game | -1.00 (28th of 32) | -0.82 (27th of 32) |
| Shots on goal per game | 24.1 (30th of 32) | 26.7 (21st of 32) |
| Shots allowed per game | 28.3 (22nd of 32) | 27.9 (19th of 32) |
| Shot share | 46.0% (29th of 32) | 48.9% (18th of 32) |
| Shooting % | 9.3% (28th of 32) | 8.8% (31st of 32) |
| Team save % | 88.6% (16th of 32) | 88.6% (15th of 32) |
| Power play % | 18.8% (24th of 32) | 18.6% (26th of 32) |
| Penalty kill % | 79.4% (12th of 32) | 73.9% (24th of 32) |
| Faceoff % | 51.1% (11th of 32) | 54.1% (4th of 32) |
Key players
- Matvei Michkov (Philadelphia Flyers): Michkov has 10 goals this season on a 34.5% shooting rate, a pace few shooters sustain.
- Trevor Zegras (Philadelphia Flyers): Zegras leads the Flyers with 45 shots and has 14 points this season.
- Dan Vladar (Philadelphia Flyers): Vladar has an .879 save percentage and a 3.24 GAA this season.
- Kent Johnson (Columbus Blue Jackets): Johnson has 17 points in 17 games this season to lead Columbus.
- Zach Werenski (Columbus Blue Jackets): Werenski logs 28.2 minutes a night and has 12 assists this season.
- Jet Greaves (Columbus Blue Jackets): Greaves carries an .882 save percentage and a 3.34 GAA this season.
Numbers that matter
| Flyers goals per game rank | 31st | Philadelphia averages 2.24 goals per game, ahead of only one team. |
|---|---|---|
| Columbus penalty kill | 73.9% | Ranked 24th, it is the clearest weakness the Flyers' power play can target. |
| Michkov shooting percentage | 34.5% | His 10 goals on 29 shots carry much of a thin Philadelphia attack. |
| Columbus moneyline | -135 | The Blue Jackets are home favorites, and the market hasn't shifted since it opened in our feed. |
Philadelphia Flyers vs Columbus Blue Jackets: quick answers
What was the final score of Philadelphia Flyers vs Columbus Blue Jackets?
Philadelphia Flyers 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 3 (final). Philadelphia Flyers covered the closing puck line (Philadelphia Flyers +1.5). The game went over the closing total of 5.5.
What is the over/under for Philadelphia Flyers vs Columbus Blue Jackets?
The total is 5.5 goals.
When is Philadelphia Flyers vs Columbus Blue Jackets?
Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET.
Where is Philadelphia Flyers vs Columbus Blue Jackets played?
Nationwide Arena, Columbus.
Has the line moved for Philadelphia Flyers vs Columbus Blue Jackets?
No: Philadelphia Flyers has stayed at +1.5, and the total is still 5.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on Philadelphia Flyers vs Columbus Blue Jackets?
On the Kalshi moneyline: Philadelphia Flyers: 46% of bets, 57% of the money; Columbus Blue Jackets: 54% of bets, 43% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: Columbus Blue Jackets -1.5: 60% of bets, 78% of the money; Philadelphia Flyers +1.5: 40% of bets, 22% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 5.5: 63% of bets, 64% of the money; Under 5.5: 37% of bets, 36% of the money.