New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals prediction: Hellebuyck and the Devils' shot flood test Thompson in D.C. rematch
New Jersey outshoots nearly everyone, Washington blocks more shots than anyone, and the probable starters in goal have had very different seasons.
New Jersey Devils covered the closing puck line (New Jersey Devils -1.5). The game went over the closing total of 6.5.
| Line | New Jersey Devils -134 (puck line -1.5) |
|---|---|
| Total (over/under) | 6.5 |
- Expect New Jersey to own the puck and pile up shots, with Washington blocking lanes and leaning on its finishers to stay close.
- Watch the goalies: Connor Hellebuyck's .916 save percentage against Logan Thompson's .889, both probable starters rather than confirmed.
- The Devils are -120 road favorites and the total sits at 6.5, unchanged since our feed first saw it; Devils games went over 12 of 20 times.
Volume against the wall
Two nights after New Jersey beat Washington 5-2, the teams play again in D.C., the back half of a home-and-home. The question is simple: can the Capitals' shot-blocking hold off the league's most dominant shot machine?
The Devils average 32.8 shots on goal per game, 2nd of 32, and allow 24.9, 3rd. Their shot share (their portion of all shots in their games) is 56.8%, also 2nd. Washington sits in the middle of the pack on both ends, but nobody gets in front of more pucks: the Capitals block 17.0 shots per game, the most in the league.
The Capitals' counter is finishing. They shoot 12.6%, 7th in the NHL, and Alex Tuch already has 11 goals. New Jersey's shooting rate is 11.0%, 22nd in the league, despite all that volume, so this game is a test of whether quantity beats quality.
The crease tilts toward Jersey
Connor Hellebuyck is New Jersey's probable starter after stopping 26 of 28 shots Thursday. The Devils haven't confirmed him for tonight. In six games he owns a .916 save percentage and a 1.97 goals-against average, a small sample but a sharp one.
Logan Thompson is expected to start for Washington, though the team hasn't confirmed it. His .889 and 3.17 GAA over 13 games reflect a defense that has allowed 3.41 goals per game, 22nd in the league. Thompson made 24 saves in Thursday's loss. If the Devils get their usual shot count, he needs his best night of the month.
A bad kill that rarely plays
New Jersey's penalty kill is a genuine weakness: it has stopped just 65.1% of opponents' power plays, 31st of 32. The saving grace is discipline. The Devils are shorthanded only 2.15 times per game, fewest in the league.
Washington isn't built to exploit that. The Capitals draw 2.71 power plays per game, 29th, and convert at 19.6%, 21st. Still, Ryan Leonard's backhand power-play goal tied Thursday's game, a reminder that one or two chances can matter. The Capitals take more penalties, too, sitting 23rd in times shorthanded.
Devils patch the blue line
New Jersey's defense is thin. Johnathan Kovacevic went on injured reserve Friday, retroactive to Nov. 10. Seamus Casey moved to long-term injured reserve the same day. Brett Pesce (illness) was listed as day-to-day as of Friday's report. Forward Anthony Mantha is on long-term injured reserve.
The call-ups have helped. Vladislav Kolyachonok scored Thursday's third-period go-ahead goal in his Devils debut, and Anton Silaev was recalled Friday. Luke Hughes logs 24.3 minutes a night and carries the heaviest load. Neither team has posted a morning-skate update for Saturday.
Washington remains without Rasmus Sandin (knee) and Vincent Desharnais (appendectomy), both on injured reserve.
What the market is saying
The Devils are -120 favorites on the road, with Washington at +100 at home. The total is 6.5 and the Capitals are +1.5 on the puck line; neither has moved since our feed first recorded the game Friday.
The overs have a case: Devils games went over 12 times in 20, and Capitals games 11 times in 17. Washington has struggled against the puck line, covering just 5 of 17. The season series is tied 1-1, with each team winning at home.
New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals line movement and odds
| Book | Devils ML | Capitals ML | Devils spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -140 | +118 | -1.5 (+180) | o6.5 (-105) |
| DraftKings | -142 | +120 | -1.5 (+180) | o6.5 (-105) |
| ESPN BET | -145 | +125 | -1.5 (+170) | o6.5 (+105) |
| Fanatics | -140 | +115 | -1.5 (+175) | o6.5 (-105) |
| FanDuel | -138 | +115 | -1.5 (+168) | o6.5 (-104) |
| Hard Rock Bet | -155 | +120 | -1.5 (+160) | o6.5 (+105) |
| Caesars | -140 | +120 | -1.5 (+175) | o6.5 (-107) |
Where the money is on New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals
On the Kalshi moneyline: New Jersey Devils: 62% of bets, 51% of the money; Washington Capitals: 38% of bets, 49% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: New Jersey Devils -1.5: 61% of bets, 87% of the money; Washington Capitals +1.5: 40% of bets, 13% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 6.5: 57% of bets, 94% of the money; Under 6.5: 43% of bets, 6% of the money.
New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals stats (this season)
| Stat | New Jersey Devils | Washington Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 14-6-0 | 10-7-0 |
| Goals per game | 3.60 (7th of 32) | 3.41 (9th of 32) |
| Goals allowed per game | 2.85 (9th of 32) | 3.41 (22nd of 32) |
| Goal differential per game | 0.75 (7th of 32) | 0.00 (17th of 32) |
| Shots on goal per game | 32.8 (2nd of 32) | 27.2 (18th of 32) |
| Shots allowed per game | 24.9 (3rd of 32) | 27.8 (18th of 32) |
| Shot share | 56.8% (2nd of 32) | 49.5% (15th of 32) |
| Shooting % | 11.0% (22nd of 32) | 12.6% (7th of 32) |
| Team save % | 88.6% (17th of 32) | 87.7% (25th of 32) |
| Power play % | 18.8% (24th of 32) | 19.6% (21st of 32) |
| Penalty kill % | 65.1% (30th of 32) | 77.2% (18th of 32) |
| Faceoff % | 49.5% (16th of 32) | 48.0% (22nd of 32) |
Key players
- Jack Hughes (New Jersey Devils): Leads the Devils with 27 points, including 10 goals, in 20 games this season.
- Connor Hellebuyck (New Jersey Devils): Has a .916 save percentage and 1.97 GAA in six games for New Jersey this season.
- Jesper Bratt (New Jersey Devils): Has 16 assists among his 20 points this season.
- Alex Tuch (Washington Capitals): Has 11 goals on a 26.2% shooting rate this season.
- Logan Thompson (Washington Capitals): Carries an .889 save percentage and 3.17 GAA through 13 games this season.
- Dylan Strome (Washington Capitals): Leads Washington with 15 points, 12 of them assists.
Numbers that matter
| Devils shot share | 56.8% | 2nd in the NHL, the foundation of New Jersey's 14-6-0 start. |
|---|---|---|
| Capitals blocked shots per game | 17.0 | The most in the league, Washington's main defense against the Devils' volume. |
| Devils penalty kill | 65.1% | 31st of 32, though New Jersey is shorthanded less often than any team. |
| Capitals power plays drawn per game | 2.71 | 29th, which limits Washington's chances to attack that weak kill. |
| Devils moneyline | -120 | New Jersey is a modest road favorite two days after a 5-2 home win. |
New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals: quick answers
What was the final score of New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals?
New Jersey Devils 7, Washington Capitals 4 (final). New Jersey Devils covered the closing puck line (New Jersey Devils -1.5). The game went over the closing total of 6.5.
What is the over/under for New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals?
The total is 6.5 goals.
When is New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals?
Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET.
Where is New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals played?
Capital One Arena, Washington.
Has the line moved for New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals?
Yes: New Jersey Devils opened +1.5 and is now -1.5, and the total is still 6.5 (consensus of the regulated US sportsbooks since we first saw the game).
Where is the money on New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals?
On the Kalshi moneyline: New Jersey Devils: 62% of bets, 51% of the money; Washington Capitals: 38% of bets, 49% of the money. On the Kalshi spread: New Jersey Devils -1.5: 61% of bets, 87% of the money; Washington Capitals +1.5: 40% of bets, 13% of the money. On the Kalshi total: Over 6.5: 57% of bets, 94% of the money; Under 6.5: 43% of bets, 6% of the money.